American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
2 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
3 CAO Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
3 ZHUANG Eddie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
5 XIAN kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
6 LI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 90% 55% 11%
7 QIAN Will 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 31%
8 LIN George 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
9 FAN Ze Lin 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
10 HU Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 50%
11 SONG Enoch 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 46%
12 WU Wallace 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
13 CHONG Cooper 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 3%
14 KIAYIAS Anthony 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
15 PAN Howard Haoran 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
16 YOON Mason 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 4%
17 ZHAI Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
18 XIA Vincent 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
19 WU Max 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 1%
20 SHEN Lucas 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
21 WU Yulen 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 25% 3%
22 LIN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
23 MOON Nolan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 9%
24 HUANG Dalynn 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 42%
25 ZHANG Eric 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 23%
26 GUGALA Frank 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
27 SHOU Raymond 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
28 YANG Luca 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
29 SHARMA Ari 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 5%
30 VENAFRO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
31 SU Sean 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
32 LEE Ryan 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
33 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
34 HUYNH Kaleb 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
35 KANAN Noland 100% 99% 91% 59% 19% 1%
36 LECH Landon 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
37 HEBERT SEBASTIEN 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
38 JAZWINSKI Archer 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
39 FOMIN Dash 100% 97% 80% 42% 9% -
40 FANG Ryan 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
41 XU ETHAN 100% 100% 96% 65% 20% 2%
42 STARK Ethan 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
43 YU Oliver 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 11% 1%
44 WANG Jaaziel 100% 98% 82% 39% 6% -
45 XIA Wenhao 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 4%
46 CHEUNG Zachary 100% 99% 89% 54% 16% 1%
47 KIM JOSHUA 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
48 LIU KUNDE 100% 98% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
49 COHEN Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
50 DUAN EDWIN 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
51 HE Ryan 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
52 GUTKOVSKIY Ryan 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
53 FANG Lionel 100% 100% 94% 59% 16% 1%
54 DAVE Neil 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 7% 1%
56 LIN Alexander 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1%
57 WANG Leon 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
58 MAN Dylan 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
59 JIANG Ethan 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
60 PELLERIN Liam 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
61 KIM ISAAC 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2% -
62 TARDIFF Owen 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
63 MOSAMEH Faraj 100% 88% 53% 16% 2% -
64 CUI Jason 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
65 LIN Tyler 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
66 TYRIKOS FRAZIS Dimitri 100% 90% 54% 17% 3% - -
67 OBAS Logan X. 100% 81% 35% 6% - -
68 YU Adam 100% 96% 71% 30% 6% -
69 MOORE Quinn 100% 99% 89% 54% 14% 1%
70 XIE zhouhan 100% 98% 83% 43% 7% -
71 DING Jacob 100% 95% 65% 23% 3% -
72 SAVIR Ethan 100% 96% 69% 26% 4% -
73 RAY William 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
74 BANGALE Viraaj 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
75 KO Owen 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1% -
76 LI Ethan 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
78 DEL VALLE-LIN Julian 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3% -
79 TISHCHENKO Vasily 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 1%
80 POLEBOYINA Aarav 100% 41% 6% - - -
81 HUA Isaac 100% 99% 91% 57% 18% 2%
82 CAI Mark 100% 96% 73% 30% 4% -
83 CAI Charlie 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
84 SHA Adam 100% 84% 33% 6% - -
85 ZEI Julian 100% 39% 6% - - -
86 HWANG Samuel 100% 38% 6% - - -
87 CHEN Jonathan 100% 64% 20% 2% - -
88 BRYSON Aidan 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
89 LIU Max 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
90 STABROWSKI Joaquin 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
90 JUTAGIR Eugene 100% 39% 4% - - -
92 HO Marcus 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
93 MENZEL Lucas 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
94 KALACHNIKOFF Henry 100% 99% 91% 59% 17% 2%
95 SUN Neil 100% 92% 51% 14% 1% -
96 ZUO Yizhi 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
97 ZHANG Andrew 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
98 NG Harry 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
99 AWALGAONKAR Aahan 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
100 CHIN Iker 100% 70% 26% 4% - -
101 LEE Andrew 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
102 MILLER Julian 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 10% 1%
102 YAMADA Kai 100% 78% 17% 1% - -
104 YAMADA Ray 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
105 CAI daniel 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
106 HARDING James 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.