USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Men's Épée

Friday, July 5, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VERGARA Nicolas M. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
2 GOLOBISH Kyle - - - 5% 21% 44% 31%
3 PAINE Jared A. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
3 O'HARA Keegan J. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
5 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
6 LI Jeffrey - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
7 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
8 LI Brian X - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
9 WEISE Eli S. - 1% 4% 15% 31% 34% 15%
10 MARRAN Erik R. - - 4% 15% 34% 35% 12%
11 TARBUSKOVICH III John - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
12 HERGERT Benito - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
13 DOLMETSCH Max - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
14 WISNIEWSKI Bart 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
15 ANDERSON Elias W. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
16 KIM PAUL - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
17 WORLEY Aren R. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
18 WU Byron - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
19 WHITEHURST JJ - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
20 MANZ Hamilton R. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
21 CHOI Isaac 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
22 LEHR William D. - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
23 AHN Gus - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
24 SCHULTZ Rowan 1% 8% 25% 36% 25% 6%
25 SMITH Zane A. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
26 MIRANDA Matteo 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
27 LABROZZI Aidan - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
28 TEVEBAUGH Mason C. 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
29 MCLOUDREY Callan E. - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
30 KOUSTIKOV Max - 1% 7% 20% 34% 29% 10%
31 DAVIES Christian B. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
32 CHUNG Thomas 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
33 CHITU Julian S. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
34 LAWLER Aidan - - 4% 19% 35% 31% 10%
34 AU Marcus J. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
34 PAK Charles - - 2% 14% 34% 37% 13%
38 ZONE Liam - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
39 HOLDERNESS Landon - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
39 TUCKER Owen J. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
41 CHAWLA Armaan - 2% 11% 26% 34% 21% 5%
41 WAGMAN Robert S. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
43 BUYANOV Nikita V. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
44 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
45 HODGE Jaydon L. 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
46 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
46 MIDDEKE Devin - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
48 RICKMAN Ian - - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
49 GRAY Alex - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
50 MUNROE Shane - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
51 DIDYCZ Nicholas - 3% 16% 35% 33% 13% 1%
52 GAINES Aaron 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
53 MARTIN Dirk 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
54 HOWELL Thomas A. - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
55 TROAKE Henry R. - 5% 22% 38% 28% 6%
56 SCHENCK Theo 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
57 LEE PETER H. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 16% 3%
58 SVIBEN Cameron - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
59 THORESON Gary C. - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
60 RASMUSSEN Jack 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
61 HEALY Griffen 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
62 CONVERSE Warren D. 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
63 REDHEAD Nolan P. 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
64 VANDERLINDEN Brian 2% 10% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
65 SHAH S Ayush - - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9%
66 HORTELANO Ethan - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
67 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
68 DESOUZA Hansel S. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
69 ALFAIATE Lucas - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
70 TORDO Garrett - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
71 JONES Elijah - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
72 GASIOROWSKI Devin G. 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
73 CHREKY Jacob D. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
74 WEAVER Neil - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
75 LI Jeffrey - 3% 21% 41% 27% 7% 1%
76 WERCHAN Andrew R. - 4% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
77 KAUFMANN Connor G. - 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
78 SINGH Laekhram 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1%
79 KOKENGE Chad - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
80 TUMIBAY Noah C. 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
81 KING Cameron - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
82 COX Gavin V. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
83 NG Joshua Z. - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
84 ARANA Abraham - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
85 DINKINS Shuayb 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
86 LU Sebastian X. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
87 EASTMAN Blake C. 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% -
88 DYER Carson C. 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
88 JAAFAR Omar 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
90 SILVANIA Michael 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
91 CLARK Carson 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
92 GRIMSLEY Devin M. - 1% 10% 30% 40% 20%
93 COOPER Rowan - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
94 WOMACH Tristan 2% 10% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
95 JOSEPH William - 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
96 SOLTER Kai - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
97 GODDARD Hal D. 1% 8% 23% 32% 25% 10% 1%
97 CHEN Austin 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
99 SAN JUAN Carlos - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
99 COLLINS Damase 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
101 PHILLIPS Wesley Y. - - 2% 11% 30% 40% 18%
102 GLECKNER Aidan - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
103 LEVY Jeffrey M. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 12%
104 MEYERS Peter - - 2% 15% 36% 35% 11%
105 PRABHAKAR vibhav 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
106 NGUYEN Steven - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
107 KENNEDY Kyle J. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
107 YULE Alexander L. 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
109 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
110 SIMMONS Tristan A. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
111 MUN Chur-Yong 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
112 JOHNSON Evan 1% 6% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
113 REED Dusty (Allen) 5% 19% 31% 28% 13% 3% -
114 GUI Runlin - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
115 ZHOU Jiasheng - 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
116 GILLISON Edward L. 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
117 HAMPTON Kistler 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
118 GULLO Kenji Y. 10% 29% 33% 20% 7% 1% -
119 BOGUSLAVSKY Daniel - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
120 CHOUDHRY Hannaan S. - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
121 CHITU Andreas C. 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
122 SIDDIQUI HUMZA K. - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
123 PARTE Aidan 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
124 ZHAO Luhan - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
125 THORNTON Zachary 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
127 BOWDEN JR. William 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
128 CHEN Eric 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
129 WADE Grayson 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
129 MOYA Mason - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
131 MAGDA Daniel 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
132 HOSELTON Spencer 5% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
133 MARIN Lucas 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
134 MARICI Ryan 3% 15% 29% 30% 17% 5% 1%
135 WALSH Kevin 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
136 LIU Felix 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
137 DYER Ian E. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
138 LOUIE Jason 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
139 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
140 VON KLAR Ryker 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
141 AMMON Blue 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
142 DOUGLAS Colin F. 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%
143 GU Brian 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
144 PENG Gregory 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
145 DILLE Brice - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
146 HART Jackson - 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% -
147 THOMAS Samuel - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 9%
148 YIM Alex - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
149 BROWN Nathan P. 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
150 STEWART Charlie 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
151 HU Alexander W. 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
152 HAW Keith F. 4% 22% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
153 KAGAN Spencer E. 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
154 GRAVIS Martin V. 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
155 TRUJILLO Andres 14% 43% 31% 10% 2% - -
156 LANGENDERFER Braeden 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
157 RICKERT Michael A. 12% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
157 HOLCOMB Wesley 43% 40% 14% 2% - -
159 FINFROCK Cameron J. 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
160 WANG Eric S 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
161 HESS Marc F. 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
162 LAING Christopher 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
163 PAINE Evan J. - 5% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
164 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 2% 16% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
165 MCDARBY Kieron M. 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
166 LIPTON Michael D. 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
166 BOLERJACK Berton J. 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
169 SNYDER John W. 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
170 FITZGIBBON Sean P. 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
171 SCHWEIKERT Eric 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
172 MUFIC Oliver 24% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -
173 HOUST Michael D. 29% 49% 19% 3% - - -
174 WEBER Dick 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
174 HAN David 22% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
176 REITINGER Luke M. 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
177 BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
178 CHOUDHRY Hassan S. 10% 34% 35% 17% 4% - -
179 LEVCHOOK Thomas 8% 30% 38% 19% 5% 1% -
180 WILLIAMS Richard 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
181 BARTCH Ethan L. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
182 SQUIER Woody 33% 45% 18% 3% - - -
182 TAROLLI Alexander 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
184 FISKE Jonah 1% 6% 21% 34% 26% 10% 2%
185 MITCHELL Matthew D. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
186 RODNEY Maxwell 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
187 HARBER Mike 2% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
188 MIEZIANKO Sebastian A. 1% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
189 DYER CJ 1% 12% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
190 RHEA Eric L. 28% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
191 STONE Ken 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
191 SHOWALTER Joshua 11% 55% 28% 5% - - -
193 CROWLEY Jr Daniel F. 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
194 DICKSON Tim 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
195 PHAM Ian Q. 1% 9% 27% 34% 22% 6% 1%
197 KARAMANIAN Nicholas 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.