USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Men's Épée

Friday, July 5, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VERGARA Nicolas M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
2 GOLOBISH Kyle 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
3 PAINE Jared A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 O'HARA Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
5 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
6 LI Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
7 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
8 LI Brian X 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
9 WEISE Eli S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 49% 15%
10 MARRAN Erik R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
11 TARBUSKOVICH III John 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
12 HERGERT Benito 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
13 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 17%
14 WISNIEWSKI Bart 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
15 ANDERSON Elias W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
16 KIM PAUL 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
17 WORLEY Aren R. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
18 WU Byron 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
19 WHITEHURST JJ 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
20 MANZ Hamilton R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
21 CHOI Isaac 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
22 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
23 AHN Gus 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
24 SCHULTZ Rowan 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
25 SMITH Zane A. 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
26 MIRANDA Matteo 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
27 LABROZZI Aidan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
28 TEVEBAUGH Mason C. 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
29 MCLOUDREY Callan E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
30 KOUSTIKOV Max 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
31 DAVIES Christian B. 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 13% 2%
32 CHUNG Thomas 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
33 CHITU Julian S. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
34 LAWLER Aidan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
34 AU Marcus J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
34 PAK Charles 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
38 ZONE Liam 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
39 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
39 TUCKER Owen J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
41 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 5%
41 WAGMAN Robert S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
43 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
44 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
45 HODGE Jaydon L. 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
46 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
46 MIDDEKE Devin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
48 RICKMAN Ian 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
49 GRAY Alex 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
50 MUNROE Shane 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
51 DIDYCZ Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
52 GAINES Aaron 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
53 MARTIN Dirk 100% 98% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
54 HOWELL Thomas A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 11%
55 TROAKE Henry R. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
56 SCHENCK Theo 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
57 LEE PETER H. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
58 SVIBEN Cameron 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
59 THORESON Gary C. 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
60 RASMUSSEN Jack 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - -
61 HEALY Griffen 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
62 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
63 REDHEAD Nolan P. 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
64 VANDERLINDEN Brian 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
65 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
66 HORTELANO Ethan 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 9%
67 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
68 DESOUZA Hansel S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
69 ALFAIATE Lucas 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
70 TORDO Garrett 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
71 JONES Elijah 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
72 GASIOROWSKI Devin G. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
73 CHREKY Jacob D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 7%
74 WEAVER Neil 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
75 LI Jeffrey 100% 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1%
76 WERCHAN Andrew R. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
77 KAUFMANN Connor G. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
78 SINGH Laekhram 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
79 KOKENGE Chad 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
80 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 12% 2%
81 KING Cameron 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 24% 4%
82 COX Gavin V. 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
83 NG Joshua Z. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 8%
84 ARANA Abraham 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
85 DINKINS Shuayb 100% 92% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
86 LU Sebastian X. 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
87 EASTMAN Blake C. 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% -
88 DYER Carson C. 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
88 JAAFAR Omar 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
90 SILVANIA Michael 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
91 CLARK Carson 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2%
92 GRIMSLEY Devin M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20%
93 COOPER Rowan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
94 WOMACH Tristan 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
95 JOSEPH William 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
96 SOLTER Kai 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
97 GODDARD Hal D. 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
97 CHEN Austin 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
99 SAN JUAN Carlos 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
99 COLLINS Damase 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
101 PHILLIPS Wesley Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
102 GLECKNER Aidan 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
103 LEVY Jeffrey M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 12%
104 MEYERS Peter 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
105 PRABHAKAR vibhav 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
106 NGUYEN Steven 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
107 KENNEDY Kyle J. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
107 YULE Alexander L. 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 14% 2%
109 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
110 SIMMONS Tristan A. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
111 MUN Chur-Yong 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
112 JOHNSON Evan 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 16% 2%
113 REED Dusty (Allen) 100% 95% 76% 45% 17% 4% -
114 GUI Runlin 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
115 ZHOU Jiasheng 100% 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
116 GILLISON Edward L. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
117 HAMPTON Kistler 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
118 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 90% 61% 28% 8% 1% -
119 BOGUSLAVSKY Daniel 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 10%
120 CHOUDHRY Hannaan S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
121 CHITU Andreas C. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
122 SIDDIQUI HUMZA K. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
123 PARTE Aidan 100% 91% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
124 ZHAO Luhan 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
125 THORNTON Zachary 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
127 BOWDEN JR. William 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
128 CHEN Eric 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
129 WADE Grayson 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
129 MOYA Mason 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
131 MAGDA Daniel 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
132 HOSELTON Spencer 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
133 MARIN Lucas 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
134 MARICI Ryan 100% 97% 83% 53% 23% 6% 1%
135 WALSH Kevin 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
136 LIU Felix 100% 97% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
137 DYER Ian E. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
138 LOUIE Jason 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% -
139 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
140 VON KLAR Ryker 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
141 AMMON Blue 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
142 DOUGLAS Colin F. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6%
143 GU Brian 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
144 PENG Gregory 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
145 DILLE Brice 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 3%
146 HART Jackson 100% 100% 97% 75% 36% 8% -
147 THOMAS Samuel 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
148 YIM Alex 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
149 BROWN Nathan P. 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
150 STEWART Charlie 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
151 HU Alexander W. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
152 HAW Keith F. 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
153 KAGAN Spencer E. 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
154 GRAVIS Martin V. 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
155 TRUJILLO Andres 100% 86% 42% 11% 2% - -
156 LANGENDERFER Braeden 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
157 RICKERT Michael A. 100% 88% 50% 16% 3% -
157 HOLCOMB Wesley 100% 57% 17% 2% - -
159 FINFROCK Cameron J. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
160 WANG Eric S 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
161 HESS Marc F. 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
162 LAING Christopher 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
163 PAINE Evan J. 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
164 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 4% -
165 MCDARBY Kieron M. 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
166 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
166 BOLERJACK Berton J. 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
169 SNYDER John W. 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
170 FITZGIBBON Sean P. 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
171 SCHWEIKERT Eric 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
172 MUFIC Oliver 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
173 HOUST Michael D. 100% 71% 22% 3% - - -
174 WEBER Dick 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
174 HAN David 100% 78% 40% 13% 2% - -
176 REITINGER Luke M. 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
177 BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. 100% 93% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
178 CHOUDHRY Hassan S. 100% 90% 56% 21% 4% - -
179 LEVCHOOK Thomas 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
180 WILLIAMS Richard 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
181 BARTCH Ethan L. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
182 SQUIER Woody 100% 67% 22% 4% - - -
182 TAROLLI Alexander 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
184 FISKE Jonah 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 2%
185 MITCHELL Matthew D. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
186 RODNEY Maxwell 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
187 HARBER Mike 100% 98% 79% 42% 11% 1%
188 MIEZIANKO Sebastian A. 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
189 DYER CJ 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
190 RHEA Eric L. 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
191 STONE Ken 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
191 SHOWALTER Joshua 100% 89% 34% 6% - - -
193 CROWLEY Jr Daniel F. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
194 DICKSON Tim 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
195 PHAM Ian Q. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
197 KARAMANIAN Nicholas 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.