Event Results

Y-14 Men's Épée

October NACSurprise Map

Monday, October 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM Orange County Convention Center · Orlando, FL, USA
162 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 SHIN Yubin V V V V V V V V V V V V V 5.7 6 +0.3
2 DODIN Daniel M. V V V V D V V V V V V V D 5.3 5 -0.3
3 LUO Alexander V V V V V V V V V V V D 5.7 6 +0.3
3 FU Nolan V V V V V V V V V V V D 5.0 6 +1.0
5 DU Evan V V V V V V V V V V D 5.4 6 +0.6
6 CHO Adrian D V V V V V V V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
7 MIDYANY Ryan D V D V V V V V V V D 4.6 4 -0.6
8 YAO Tristan D D V V V D V V V V D 4.5 3 -1.5
9 XUE Michael V V V V V V V V V D 4.9 6 +1.1
10 KATS Brandon V V V V V V V V V D 4.4 6 +1.6
11 CHEN Evan V V V V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
12 KIM Gene V V V V D V V V V D 5.6 5 -0.6
13 RONG Marcus V V V V V D V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
14 WU MiEr V V V D V V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
15 ALI Rayan V D V V D V V V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
16 BHANDARE Veer D V V D V V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
17 KROPP Wesley V V V V V D V V D 4.9 5 +0.1
18 LI Andy V V V V V D V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
19 PARKE Nathaniel V V D V V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
20 ARMSTRONG Payson V V V V D V V V D 4.6 5 +0.4
21 MOSLEY Wally V V V D V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
22 DANILOV Artur V V V V V D V V D 2.4 5 +2.6
23 JIN Noah V V V V D V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
24 ZHANG Chaoyi（Joey） D V V V V V V D 4.0 4 -
25 LEE Lucas D V V V V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
26 KIM Leejay D V V V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
27 SAAD Peter V D V V V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
28 RUBIN Nathan V V V D D V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
29 CHANG Matthew D V V D V V V V D 4.0 4 -
30 PUTHOFF Henry V D V D D V V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
31 ROBERTS Arthur D V D V D V V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
32 SCHIPPER Johann V D V D V D V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
33 SZETO Zachary V V V V V V V D 3.5 6 +2.5
34 WHITE Ryden V V V V V V V D 3.9 6 +2.1
35 LIN Henry V V V V V V V D 4.2 6 +1.8
36 WU Matthew V V V V V V D 3.1 5 +1.9
37 SAMOYLOV Daniel V V V V V V V D 3.0 6 +3.0
38 WANG Lucas V V V V V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
39 HUA Nolan V V V V D V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
40 KROTZ Nicolas V D V V V V V D 4.9 5 +0.1
41 WONG Aaron V V V V V D V D 4.1 5 +0.9
42 TOYOFUKU Lucas V V V V D V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
43 ZHAO Nathan V V D V V V V D 4.9 5 +0.1
44 KIM Doyun V V V D V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
45 CHEN Aiden V V D V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
46 LIU Austin V V V V D V D 3.9 4 +0.1
47 KUYKENDALL Logan V V V D V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
48 CHEN Tianjun V D D V V V V D 5.0 4 -1.0
48 MOU Jaydon V V D D V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
50 TANG Colin D D V V V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
51 STRAFFORD Andrew V V V D D V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
52 KELLY Blair V V V D D V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
52 WANG Jeremy D V V V D V V D 4.0 4 -
54 ZHENG Jason V D V V V D V D 4.6 4 -0.6
55 HWANG Matthew V V D D V V V D 4.8 4 -0.8
56 HUR Tyson V D V V V D V D 2.5 4 +1.5
57 LIN Bryan V V D D V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
58 CHALLAMEL Hadrien V D V D V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
59 WILLIAMS Gavin V V D D V V D 2.0 3 +1.0
60 CHEN Linus D V D V V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
61 HOLDEN Harrison V V V D D V D 1.4 3 +1.6
62 PARK Jeremy V D V D D V V D 1.7 2 +0.3
63 NGUYEN Ethan V. V D D D V V V D 2.9 2 -0.9
64 PARRA Lucas D V D V D V V D 3.5 2 -1.5
65 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram D V V V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
66 VANAMA Agastya V V D V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
67 RAMIREZ Hunter V V V D V D 3.6 4 +0.4
68 LIN Daniel V V D D V V D 2.6 4 +1.4
69 LIN Edison V V D V D V D 2.4 4 +1.6
70 TANG Daniel V V D V V D D 4.3 4 -0.3
71 CHIANG William V D D V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
72 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael D V V D V V D 2.0 4 +2.0
73 TUDELA Francisco V D D V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
74 JIANG Aidan D V V D V V D 2.2 4 +1.8
75 CHAN Nathan D V D V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
76 GEVA Reuben D V D V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
77 CAREY John V D D V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
78 KESELMAN Ron V V D V D D 1.1 3 +1.9
79 SCHMIDT Paxton D V V V D D D 3.8 3 -0.8
80 ROFINO Samuel D D V D V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
81 ZHANG Aiden D D D V V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
82 WU Nathan D V V V D D D 2.8 3 +0.2
83 SONG Aidan V D V V D D D 3.7 3 -0.7
84 LU Ian V V D D V D D 2.9 3 +0.1
84 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) D D V D V V D 3.3 3 -0.3
86 LAKSHMAN Vishnu D V D V D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
87 KOVAC Blake V V D V D D D 2.8 3 +0.2
88 YAKHNIS Seth D D V V V D D 3.5 3 -0.5
89 LAI Jayden D V V V D D D 3.0 3 -
90 YOON Ian D V D V V D D 2.3 3 +0.7
91 YU Brandon V D D D V V D 2.6 3 +0.4
92 KLOTS Theo D D D V V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
93 ZENG Felix D D D V V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
94 SHOURIE Neel D V V V D D D 2.1 3 +0.9
95 TAVERNA Matteo D D V V D V D 2.4 3 +0.6
96 YIM Antonio D D D V V V D 1.9 3 +1.1
97 MA Nolan D V D V D D 2.7 2 -0.7
98 PARK Sean V V D D D V D 1.1 2 +0.9
99 KIM William D D V V D V D 1.4 2 +0.6
100 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo D D V D V V D 2.8 2 -0.8
100 ZHENG Jasper D D V D V V D 2.6 2 -0.6
102 LEE Leo V D V D D D V D 3.9 2 -1.9
103 LIU Leo V D D V D D V D 2.6 2 -0.6
103 BARTON Christian D V D D V D V D 2.1 2 -0.1
105 YAO Aiden D V D D D V V D 3.0 2 -1.0
106 YAO Ryan V D D V D D V D 4.0 2 -2.0
107 BORAN Brooks D V V D D D V D 4.6 2 -2.6
108 HANTOV Adrian D D V V D D V D 3.0 2 -1.0
109 CHO Joshua D D D D V V V D 2.7 2 -0.7
110 CHEN INCHON D D V D V D V D 2.6 2 -0.6
111 KICIMAN Leo V V D D D D V D 3.5 2 -1.5
112 RAMIREZ Tristan D V D V D D V D 3.4 2 -1.4
113 CHONG Eden D D V D D V V D 2.7 2 -0.7
114 KUYKENDALL Lucas D D V D D V V D 2.3 2 -0.3
115 BENNETTE Graham D V D D D V V D 1.7 2 +0.3
116 ZHAN ETHAN D D V D D V V D 3.6 2 -1.6
117 ENG Kyler D D D V V D V D 3.8 2 -1.8
118 MITTELSTAEDT EJ D D V V D D V D 1.4 2 +0.6
118 CHAN Joseph V V D D D D V D 2.0 2 -
120 CHEN Ryder V D D D V D V D 2.0 2 -
121 RUDIGER George D D V D D V D 1.5 1 -0.5
122 THOMAS Andrew D D D V D V D 3.8 1 -2.8
123 WONG Sebastian D D D V D D V D 1.5 1 -0.5
124 PARADKAR Akshay D D D D V D V D 1.3 1 -0.3
125 PLUMMER Kellan D D D D V D V D 1.5 1 -0.5
125 WU James D D D D V D V D 2.5 1 -1.5
127 YAN Leo D D D D D V V D 1.8 1 -0.8
128 MYRAH Devin D D D D D V D 2.7 0 -2.7
129 ZHANG Jeffrey V D V D D D D 4.0 2 -2.0
130 HWANG Christopher D V V D D D D 0.6 2 +1.4
131 ZHANG Michael V V D D D D D 2.7 2 -0.7
132 SCHLUBACH Jasper V D V D D D D 2.0 2 -
133 YIN Henry D V D D V D D 2.0 2 -
134 SHOURIE Seth V D D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
135 FISHER Alexandre D D D V D D 1.8 1 -0.8
136 ZHAO Kyle Zekai D D D D V D 1.5 1 -0.5
137 JEONG Joseph V D D D D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
138 LAI Jaxon D D V D D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
139 GUAN Yi V D D D D D D 3.9 1 -2.9
140 LOUIE Kyle D D D V D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
141 PATEL Tej D V D D D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
142 CHEN Daniel V D D D D D D 2.6 1 -1.6
143 SPEZAKIS Achilles D D D V D D D 1.0 1 -
144 SUK Kwon D V D D D D D 1.5 1 -0.5
145 MBERIA Henry D D D D D D 1.7 0 -1.7
146 LAU Jesse D D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
147 BALUCAN Gabriel D D D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4
147 KICIMAN Louis D D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
149 KOROVIN Mikhail D D D D D D 2.1 0 -2.1
150 GUO Jonathan D D D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6
151 YOU Emmanuel D D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
152 LEUNG Joon D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
152 CHI Zachary D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
154 PATEL Yash D D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
154 ABEZGAUZ Ariel D D D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4
154 LAU Caleb D D D D D D D 2.3 0 -2.3
157 ROYAERT Vincent D D D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
157 JOSHI Neil D D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5
159 BURBANK Luka Teodor D D D D D D D 0.3 0 -0.3
159 GLASSMAN Parker D D D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4
161 CHAN Aiden D D D D D D D 0.2 0 -0.2
162 QIAN-LIU Zachary D D D D D D D 0.2 0 -0.2

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%