Jersey Clash RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, February 22, 2020 at 2:30 PM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	JOSEPH Dominic (Dom)	-	-	-	1%	7%	36%	56%
2	FEDONCHIK Henry J.	-	1%	8%	26%	38%	23%	4%
3	DAI Jonathan T.	-	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	14%
3	AHN Jun	-	1%	10%	32%	40%	17%
5	VASILIEV Sacha M.	-	-	-	2%	12%	39%	48%
6	ALIMI Yacine A.	-	3%	18%	39%	32%	9%
7	GONG Benjamin	-	4%	21%	37%	28%	9%	1%
8	GOOR Julian	-	1%	8%	29%	42%	20%
9	BRUK Peter J.	-	-	4%	19%	37%	31%	9%
10	GALBAN Matthias L.	1%	14%	38%	34%	12%	1%
11	FU Yifan	-	1%	8%	25%	37%	24%	5%
12	PAN Eric	-	2%	10%	27%	36%	21%	4%
13	KULKARNI Ansh A.	-	1%	8%	26%	38%	23%	4%
14	BELLUOMO David C.	2%	10%	27%	34%	22%	6%	-
15	KWON Ethan	-	-	-	4%	19%	42%	34%
16	RUSADZE Nickolas	-	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	15%
17	LI Richard	-	-	-	3%	15%	41%	42%
18	BROWN Alexander R.	6%	25%	37%	24%	7%	1%	-
19	WEINKOPF William O.	-	1%	8%	25%	37%	24%	4%
20	SCHALES Peyton	4%	22%	39%	28%	6%	1%	-
21	ORVANANOS Jorge	-	-	2%	12%	37%	39%	9%
22	BOOTSMA Shane-Anson	1%	10%	29%	35%	19%	5%	-
23	ZHAI Jeffrey	-	-	4%	21%	43%	27%	4%
24	TSAI Max W.	1%	9%	28%	36%	21%	5%	-
25	QI Steve	6%	23%	35%	26%	9%	1%	-
26	SONG Bryan	6%	24%	35%	25%	9%	1%	-
27	PARK Joseph	3%	19%	38%	30%	9%	1%	-
28	SYOMICHEV Gleb A.	2%	20%	39%	28%	9%	1%	-
29	ZHONG Guoren	11%	34%	35%	16%	3%	-	-
30	TRAUGOT Owen G.	1%	8%	26%	36%	23%	6%	-
31	GUO Jacob	-	5%	19%	35%	29%	11%	1%
32	ZHUANG Richard	15%	39%	32%	12%	2%	-	-
33	ZHANG Zixuan "Mark"	12%	36%	35%	14%	2%	-	-
34	LIGOS Alex M.	8%	42%	36%	12%	2%	-
35	JIANG Jason	10%	30%	34%	19%	6%	1%	-
36	KALIPERSAD Neil A.	3%	26%	40%	23%	6%	1%	-
37	POPE Alexander	27%	44%	24%	5%	-	-	-
38	TRUBETSKI David	22%	41%	27%	8%	1%	-	-
39	DE JAGER Robert	66%	30%	4%	-	-	-
40	DONG sean	32%	44%	20%	4%	-	-	-
41	RADTKE Jakob	71%	26%	3%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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