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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Arnold Fencing Classic 2020

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, March 7, 2020 at 8:00 AM

400 N High Street, OH - 400 N High Street, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
2 PEDERSEN Trevor W. 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 10%
3 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
3 MARTIN Nathan C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
5 LI Jesse 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
6 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 13%
7 DAVIES Morgan 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
8 MARTIN Liam N. 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 6%
9 EDWARDS Ethan S. 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 8%
10 GLASS Timothy C. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
11 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
12 GUINAN Joseph 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
13 WANG William 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
14 KENT Dwain 100% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
15 BEACH John 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
16 SHERWOOD Dominic 100% 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
17 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
18 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
19 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 34% 3%
20 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
21 UKOLOV Dimitri 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
22 HAYENGA Gary M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 15%
23 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
24 SHAH S Ayush 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
25 PICK Ian 100% 94% 59% 17% 2% -
26 WINTERSHEIMER Adam 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
27 HANXU Richard A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
28 TEITENBERG John F. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
29 O’DEA Anthony 100% 91% 56% 16% 2% -
30 MCDONNELL Michael 100% 93% 61% 21% 3% -
31 ROTONDI Gregory V. 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2%
32 ELLINGTON Keegan A. 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 6%
33 SWANSON Dave 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
34 SINGH Anil 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
35 CULLEN Daniel F. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
36 KLINE R. Jay 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
37 HERMANSON David B. 100% 91% 56% 18% 3% -
38 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
39 STEIBER Zane T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
40 MOORE Gabriel 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
41 EDWARDS Tim 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
42 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% -
43 WANG Albert 100% 95% 63% 24% 5% - -
44 YANG Brandon 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
45 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
46 MA Bochen 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
47 HONG James 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
48 PARKS Robert 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
49 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
50 WHEELER Mark C. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
51 STEFANOV Michael A. 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
52 MARTIN Dirk 100% 84% 42% 12% 2% - -
53 KENT Matthew 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
54 LANDIS Geoffrey A. 100% 31% 4% - - - -
55 DICKSON Tim 100% 89% 50% 12% 1% -
56 WILLIAMS Richard 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
57 FITZGERALD Aidan 100% 62% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.