NEUSFA Tom Gorman Beanpot Open

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, January 26, 2020 at 12:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MECHKOV Iliya 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
2 SCHROEDER III Robert 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
3 ROUSE Brian G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
3 HAMPTON Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
5 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
6 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
7 GUI Runlin 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
8 HARRIS Robert S. 100% 100% 97% 78% 35% 5%
9 WYATT Seth 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1%
10 JANKOWICH Alexander E. 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
11 ADAMIAN David 100% 99% 89% 54% 15% 2% -
12 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 38%
13 KANNAIR Carson 100% 100% 97% 81% 38% 7%
14 FOLEY Kevin 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
15 THORDARSON Paul (Thor) J. 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 3%
16 MATEI Daniel 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
17 SENERTH Ian 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 1%
18 SUMLER Jeffery 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 12%
19 MULLARKEY Edward (Ed) 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
20 WEN Jiazheng 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
21 ABELE Chris 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
22 PATENAUDE Kameron 100% 98% 82% 40% 8% -
23 SMEDLEY Drew N. 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
24 PAGE Duncan 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
25 PAGE Andrew (Drew) (Drew) 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
26 BENINI Alexander J. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
27 KAIN Brad 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
28 GERSEN Jacob 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
29 MACNEIL Drew A. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
29 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
31 NORTON Theo B. 100% 88% 45% 12% 1% -
32 REINEKE Gerhard 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
33 HOFMANN Werner 100% 89% 46% 10% 1% -
34 WALTING Paul J. 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% 1%
35 ALVES PEREIRA Francisco Xavier 100% 87% 47% 11% 1% - -
36 REINEKE Alexander 100% 69% 20% 2% - -
37 DUMAS Wesley 100% 81% 31% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.