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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Remenyik ROC and RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, October 10, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Evanston, IL - Evanston, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELSAYED Ahmed 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
2 ZHU Zimo 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
3 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
3 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
5 TUCKER Brad W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
6 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
7 NOWAK Jakub P. 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 9%
8 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
9 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
10 GUINAN Joseph 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32% 5%
11 ROSTAL Scott E. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
12 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 9%
13 DINKINS Ramadan 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 41% 9%
14 DITTEL Aaron K. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
15 OH Matthew M. 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
16 LI Chenyu 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
17 GREGORY Abram 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
18 WANG David 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% - -
19 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 27%
20 WU Byron 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
21 NGUYEN Tate 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
22 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 9% 1%
23 SMITH Jackson 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 35% 7%
24 BUTTZ John-Henry 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 2% -
25 TOPAZ Nicholas 100% 95% 67% 24% 4% -
26 WILKINSON Derek H. 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
27 TAE William G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
28 BUTLER Joseph D. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
29 STENCEL Andrew E. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
30 MORGAN Cooper 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
31 SATTERFIELD Donald 100% 98% 78% 37% 8% 1% -
32 SWANSON Dave 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
33 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
34 PRABHAKAR Vibhav 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
35 DICKSON Tim 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
36 ASGARALLY Anthony 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
37 DENNIS Ethan 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
38 KILUK Andrew 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
39 MAYER Vinzenz 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
40 GLASS Timothy C. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
41 WHEELER Mark C. 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3% -
42 THOMAS Samuel 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 3% -
43 BISSEN Quinn 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% - -
44 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
45 DU Drake 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
46 KRAJ Pawel 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
47 TIERNEY Luke 100% 67% 21% 2% - -
48 LAUER Michael 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
49 BIESIADA Jacek W. 100% 82% 34% 7% 1% - -
50 HUANG Jason 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
51 MILLER Lance W. 100% 76% 30% 5% - -
52 JAMISON-KOENIG Matthias (Thias) P. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.