Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC Reg Opens 3/26

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, April 24, 2021 at 9:00 AM

Rocky Point, NY - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
2 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
3 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
3 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
5 LIU Patrick 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
6 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
7 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
8 LIMA Kevin M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
9 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
10 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
11 LI Richard 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
12 YU Vinni 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
13 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 97% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
14 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
15 BAE Kevin 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
16 BAS Liam 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
17 KWON Ethan 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
18 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
19 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
20 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% - -
21 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
22 HODGES Carter F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
23 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
24 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
25 LEE Chaemin D. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
26 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
27 HO Ryan J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
28 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
29 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
30 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
31 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 9%
32 AHN Jun 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
33 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
34 LEE Jacob J 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
35 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
36 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
37 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
38 BING Charles 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
39 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
40 WU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
41 BALL James T. 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
42 NAGER Noah 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
43 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
44 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 99% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
45 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
46 CHAN Tyler 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 2%
47 HEMPE Jake 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
47 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 7% 1%
49 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
50 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 1% -
51 LI Eric 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
52 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
53 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
54 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
55 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 98% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
56 LIAO Alex J. 100% 97% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
57 GU Jeffrey 100% 99% 82% 46% 15% 3% -
58 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 2%
59 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
60 SHA Yi Peng 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
61 HODESS Ethan 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
62 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
63 CAI Oliver K. 100% 97% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
64 JOSEPH Willem 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
65 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
66 WANG Michael 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
67 BOBROW Logan 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
68 GALLER Dave 100% 27% 3% - - - -
69 LE Vyn A. 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
70 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
71 LI Arvin 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% - -
72 XU Mathu Yang 100% 25% 2% - - - -
73 ZHAO Jesse 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
74 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
75 GRANADOS Luis 100% 7% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.