Thrust Fall ROC - Div 1A/Div 2 - plus Non-Regional Junior/Cadet

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, December 9, 2018 at 8:30 AM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
2 MILLER Finn S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
3 DELANEY Alexander D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
3 YU Colin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
5 MERCHANT Reza H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
6 ZHANG Joshua 100% 98% 85% 58% 27% 7% 1%
7 DANZIG Jacob S. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 18%
8 KUMAR Anitya 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
9 SHENG Patrick Y. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
10 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
11 INSLER Gabriel C. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
12 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
13 BASOK Daniel 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
14 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 15% 2%
15 ZHANG Matthew 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
16 CHA Russell W. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 48% 15%
17 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
18 WOLOSINSKI Peter 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
19 GHAZALEH Thomas Xavier 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
20 LEIGH David A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 34% 6%
21 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
22 DIDASKALOU Ilias L. 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
23 KRONROD Tal 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
24 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
25 HAO Jerry 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
26 SHINE Peter C. 100% 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
27 RA Jr. Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
28 KOKENGE Clark 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
29 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
30 KIM William M. 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
31 ELAMURUGAN Kavin 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
32 KANG Michael H. 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
33 CHILANA Savitoz (Savi) 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
34 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
35 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
36 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
37 SPANO Gideon S. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
38 HANXU Richard A. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
39 LUKANYUK Lorence 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
40 BHATNAGAR Nishay V. 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 20% 3%
42 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
43 SIDDIQUI Humza K. 100% 94% 59% 20% 4% - -
44 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
45 ZHANG William 100% 47% 11% 1% - -
46 RODE Damian E. 100% 97% 70% 29% 6% -
47 MRAK Michael R. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
48 RITCHIE Mark T. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
49 MORSE Tyler 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1%
50 RHYU Kozmo 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
51 RITCHIE Patrick Q. 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
51 LEE Tae Hee 100% 30% 4% - - - -
53 KWONG Jason 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.