April NAC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, April 18, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Fort Worth, TX - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97%
2 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
3 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81%
3 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
5 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
6 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
7 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
8 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
9 KANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 23%
10 HAN Derek 100% 98% 75% 31% 6% < 1%
11 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
12 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
13 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
14 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
15 LIN James G. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
16 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
17 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
18 LO Preston 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
19 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
20 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 97% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
21 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2% -
22 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% -
23 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
24 ZHANG Jiening G. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
25 LI Aaron 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
26 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
27 MAO Lucas 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8% -
28 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
29 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
30 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
31 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
32 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29% 2%
33 CORTRIGHT Skipper (Matthew) 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 8%
34 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14% -
35 TAN Aidan 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
36 KUNTSEVICH Ivan I. 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
37 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
38 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
39 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
40 KOE Beckett 100% 82% 44% 12% 2% - -
40 GERRISH William 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% - -
42 GULCHIN Mark 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
43 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER thomas 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
44 LIU Derek 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 8%
45 WU Lucas 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
46 TANG Terry 100% 99% 91% 57% 20% 3% -
47 SZIRAKI Jordan 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1% -
48 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
49 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 1%
50 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
51 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% - -
52 WONG Jacob W. 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
53 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% - -
54 PALMA Nathan Anthony 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6% -
55 LIU ERIC 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
56 RAJ Jay 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
57 CHOI Benjamin 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
58 KIM Aiden 100% 98% 66% 23% 4% -
59 PARK Ryan 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
60 FOGELSON Hugh 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
61 SHENG Dalton 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
62 NGUYEN martin 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
63 CHEN Junxuan 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
64 YEVDAYEV Tamir 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
65 SHIM Peter S. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
66 BONILLA Andres 100% 87% 46% 12% 2% - -
67 CHO Xzander 100% 78% 27% 4% - - -
68 ADAN Jacobo 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
69 ZAHRAN Aiden 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
70 SUAREZ David 100% 85% 49% 15% 2% - -
71 CHUNG Ian 100% 18% 1% - - -
72 HOM Logan 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -
73 LE Jacob 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
74 PARK Roy 100% 48% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.