Dick Berry 90th Birthday Invitational 2021

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 24, 2021 at 10:00 AM

Former Cost Plus World Market Building - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MADISON Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
2 MEINHOLD Li 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 20%
3 KIM Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
3 JAIN Sarthak 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
5 HE Zhiheng 100% 99% 87% 47% 9%
6 ROOD Alex 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
7 ARIETA Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
8 GARRETT Samuel 100% 99% 85% 45% 6%
9 GREEN Ummi 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
10 ZACHES Torrey 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23%
11 YAO Geoffrey 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 11% 1%
12 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
15 BOTHELIO Jere 100% 92% 54% 14% 1%
16 YAMASAKI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 61%
17 MILLER Kevin 100% 100% 98% 72%
18 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 73% 28% 3%
19 MAYCHROWITZ Matthew 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
20 CELECKI Barrett 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
21 LOGUE Ethan 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
21 HARGROVE Charles 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 3%
23 CLARKSON Cole 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
24 ZAYDMAN David 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 4%
25 HEPLER Sarah 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
26 PERKA Mike 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15%
27 KAUFMAN Joel 100% 100% 95% 69% 25% 2%
28 MING Nathan 100% 100% 96% 59% 15% 1% -
29 CAI Brian 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
30 BARNETT Devin 100% 67% 16% -
31 BECK Brian 100% 100% 92% 62% 20% 2%
32 WATT Darren 100% 85% 42% 10% 1% -
33 ZUHARS Renee 100% 99% 83% 45% 13% 2%
34 HENDRICK Heidi 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
35 WANG Owen 100% 100% 96% 65% 19% 2% -
36 OLIVER GUIMERA Arturo 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 2%
37 ANGADALA Leela Krishna 100% 93% 61% 19% 2% -
38 BHARGAV Siddharth 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
39 MARIANI Lou 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
40 MONDALA Adrian 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
42 LUO Xiao Ran 100% 87% 50% 15% 2%
43 RYAN Chris 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
44 GREEN Jabreel 100% 95% 66% 21% 2%
45 COVINGTON Max 100% 99% 91% 59% 18% 1%
46 WONG Nathan 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
47 BERMENDER Eric 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2% -
48 GU Aidan 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
49 CHANG Celine 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
51 BEITTEL David 100% 97% 66% 4%
52 LEE Kaitlyn 100% 63% 16% 1%
53 BHATT Arjun 100% 83% 35% 7% - -
54 HOOPES JR. Richard 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4%
55 HOGE William 100% 47% 9% 1% -
56 YU Austin 100% 100% 40% 6% - -
57 MADRID Betsy 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
58 ASTLE Stephen 100% 92% 63% 26% 5%
59 GOLDBERG Artie 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
60 MEWES Katie 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
61 BEATTY Max 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
62 BLOOMER Suzanne 100% 95% 63% 20% 1%
63 MONTOYA Amy 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
64 MCDONALD Caden 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% - -
65 JOSEPH Jeremy 100% 95% 16% 1% - - -
66 STANICA Teodora 100% 26% 3% - - -
66 BHARGAV Angad 100% 57% 14% 2% - -
69 LACKRONE Addison 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
70 SIMARD Sherrol 100% 21% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.