Dick Berry 90th Birthday Invitational 2021

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 24, 2021 at 10:00 AM

Former Cost Plus World Market Building - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MADISON Ethan - - 1% 10% 39% 49%
2 MEINHOLD Li - - - 2% 19% 59% 20%
3 KIM Benjamin - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
3 JAIN Sarthak 2% 15% 35% 35% 12%
5 HE Zhiheng 1% 13% 39% 39% 9%
6 ROOD Alex - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
7 ARIETA Ryan - - - 4% 28% 68%
8 GARRETT Samuel 1% 14% 40% 39% 6%
9 GREEN Ummi - - 2% 13% 37% 36% 11%
10 ZACHES Torrey - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
11 YAO Geoffrey - 1% 9% 35% 45% 11% 1%
12 CHIRASHNYA Adam 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
15 BOTHELIO Jere 8% 38% 40% 13% 1%
16 YAMASAKI Kyle - - - < 1% 5% 34% 61%
17 MILLER Kevin - 2% 26% 72%
18 WELDON Benjamin - 2% 24% 45% 25% 3%
19 MAYCHROWITZ Matthew - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
20 CELECKI Barrett - - 4% 28% 68%
21 LOGUE Ethan - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
21 HARGROVE Charles - 5% 25% 41% 25% 3%
23 CLARKSON Cole 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
24 ZAYDMAN David - 5% 23% 41% 27% 4%
25 HEPLER Sarah 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
26 PERKA Mike - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15%
27 KAUFMAN Joel - 4% 26% 44% 23% 2%
28 MING Nathan - 4% 37% 43% 14% 1% -
29 CAI Brian - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
30 BARNETT Devin 33% 51% 16% -
31 BECK Brian - 7% 30% 42% 18% 2%
32 WATT Darren 15% 43% 32% 9% 1% -
33 ZUHARS Renee 1% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2%
34 HENDRICK Heidi - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
35 WANG Owen - 4% 31% 46% 18% 2% -
36 OLIVER GUIMERA Arturo 1% 10% 34% 37% 15% 2%
37 ANGADALA Leela Krishna 7% 32% 42% 17% 2% -
38 BHARGAV Siddharth 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
39 MARIANI Lou - - - 1% 12% 44% 43%
40 MONDALA Adrian 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
42 LUO Xiao Ran 13% 37% 35% 13% 2%
43 RYAN Chris 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
44 GREEN Jabreel 5% 29% 45% 20% 2%
45 COVINGTON Max 1% 9% 32% 41% 17% 1%
46 WONG Nathan 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
47 BERMENDER Eric 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2% -
48 GU Aidan 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
49 CHANG Celine 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
51 BEITTEL David 3% 31% 62% 4%
52 LEE Kaitlyn 37% 48% 15% 1%
53 BHATT Arjun 17% 48% 28% 6% - -
54 HOOPES JR. Richard - 6% 24% 41% 25% 4%
55 HOGE William 53% 37% 9% 1% -
56 YU Austin - 60% 34% 6% - -
57 MADRID Betsy 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
58 ASTLE Stephen 8% 29% 37% 21% 5%
59 GOLDBERG Artie 3% 16% 34% 31% 14% 2% -
60 MEWES Katie 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
61 BEATTY Max 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
62 BLOOMER Suzanne 5% 31% 44% 18% 1%
63 MONTOYA Amy 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
64 MCDONALD Caden 11% 36% 36% 14% 2% - -
65 JOSEPH Jeremy 5% 79% 15% 1% - - -
66 STANICA Teodora 74% 24% 3% - - -
66 BHARGAV Angad 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
69 LACKRONE Addison 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
70 SIMARD Sherrol 79% 19% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.