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Event Results

Div I-A Men's Épée

Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYCSurprise Map

Saturday, March 12, 2022 at 8:00 AM Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall · Columbus, OH, USA
64 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 FULLERTON Houston T. V V V V V V V V V V V V 5.5 6 +0.5
2 SHAH S Ayush V V V V V V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
3 GORNOVSKY David J. V V D V V V V V V V D 5.5 5 -0.5
3 DAVIES Morgan V V V V V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
5 LI Jesse V V V V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
5 CUMMINGS Atticus C. V V V V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
7 KOKENGE Reid V V V D V V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
8 NOWAK Jakub P. D V V V V V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
9 KOZAKIEWICZ Filip V V V D V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
10 MICKO Fritz K. V D V V V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
11 CHAI Jonathan V V V D V V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
12 ELYADERANI Paxon V V D V V V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
13 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. D V D V V V V V D 5.1 4 -1.1
14 NESTEROV Andrew E. V D V V D V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
15 KENT Dwain V D V V V D V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
16 MADSEN Jr Eric W. V V D D V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
17 CHAWLA Armaan V V V V D V D 2.8 4 +1.2
18 STENCEL Andrew E. V V V D D V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
19 REED Dusty (Allen) V V V D D V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
20 WU Byron V D V V D V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
20 MICKELSON Jacob P. D V V V V D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
22 RHYU Kozmo V D V V D V D 4.1 3 -1.1
23 MIRANDA Matteo V V D D V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
24 LOESER Jacob V D D V V D V D 2.2 3 +0.8
25 SONN Rohan V D D V D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
26 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. D D V V D V D 3.4 2 -1.4
27 MILLER Lance W. D V D D V V D 1.9 2 +0.1
28 ECKEL Anson J. D V V D D V D 2.8 2 -0.8
28 GOHSMAN Maxwell V D D V D V D 0.8 2 +1.2
30 PAN Colin V D D V D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
31 VELINOV Gabriel V D D D D V V D 3.0 2 -1.0
32 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. D D D D V V D 4.3 1 -3.3
33 LEE JoonWon V V V V D D 1.6 4 +2.4
34 JENSEN Daniel G. V V D D V V D 4.0 4 -
35 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick D V V V D D 1.7 3 +1.3
36 MAYER Vinzenz D V V D V D 3.1 3 -0.1
37 HERMANSON David B. V V D D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
38 BOLARIN Oluwatosin N. V V V D D D 2.8 3 +0.2
39 LI Chenyu D D V V V D 1.9 3 +1.1
40 CHEN Zhong Han D D V V D V D 1.2 3 +1.8
41 CIOLINO Jacob F. D V D D V D 2.9 2 -0.9
42 BARTCH Ethan L. D D D V V D 1.1 2 +0.9
43 NIKOLOV Peter V D D V D D 1.4 2 +0.6
44 ELLINGTON Keegan A. V D V D D D D 4.1 2 -2.1
45 CUMMINGS Kai D D D V D V D 3.0 2 -1.0
46 HONG James D V V D D D D 3.0 2 -1.0
47 MA Bochen D V D D V D D 2.4 2 -0.4
48 HOORNSTRA David S. D D D V V D D 2.5 2 -0.5
49 WANG Albert D D D V V D D 2.1 2 -0.1
50 HUNKER Frederick V D V D D D D 1.5 2 +0.5
51 ZRELAK Teig D D V V D D D 2.7 2 -0.7
52 WEI Zheng (Jonny) D D D D V D 1.1 1 -0.1
52 EVANS Grant D D V D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
54 KRZYSIAK David F. D V D D D D 1.5 1 -0.5
55 ZENG Zihan D D D D V D 2.9 1 -1.9
56 EVANS Allen L. D D V D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
57 O'BRIEN Timothy S. D D D V D D 1.6 1 -0.6
58 DICKSON Tim V D D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
59 PAN Tristan D V D D D D D 0.8 1 +0.2
60 KRAJ Pawel D D D D D V D 2.6 1 -1.6
61 RODACHY Jeffrey M. D D D D D D 3.0 0 -3.0
62 PAINE Evan J. D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
63 THRASHER Andrew W. D D D D D D D 0.7 0 -0.7
64 FILONENKO Mark N. D D D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%