Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, March 12, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FULLERTON Houston T. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
2 SHAH S Ayush - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
3 GORNOVSKY David J. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
3 DAVIES Morgan - - 1% 11% 37% 51%
5 LI Jesse - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
5 CUMMINGS Atticus C. - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
7 KOKENGE Reid - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
8 NOWAK Jakub P. - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
9 KOZAKIEWICZ Filip - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 3%
10 MICKO Fritz K. 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
11 CHAI Jonathan 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
12 ELYADERANI Paxon 2% 15% 37% 34% 12% 1%
13 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
14 NESTEROV Andrew E. 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 6% -
15 KENT Dwain 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 10% 1%
16 MADSEN Jr Eric W. - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
17 CHAWLA Armaan 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
18 STENCEL Andrew E. - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
19 REED Dusty (Allen) 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
20 WU Byron - 5% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
20 MICKELSON Jacob P. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
22 RHYU Kozmo - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
23 MIRANDA Matteo 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
24 LOESER Jacob 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
25 SONN Rohan 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
26 OLIVERIUS Joseph W. - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
27 MILLER Lance W. 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
28 ECKEL Anson J. 1% 9% 29% 38% 19% 3%
28 GOHSMAN Maxwell 40% 42% 16% 3% - -
30 PAN Colin 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
31 VELINOV Gabriel 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
32 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. - < 1% 1% 11% 39% 48%
33 LEE JoonWon 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
34 JENSEN Daniel G. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
35 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
36 MAYER Vinzenz - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
37 HERMANSON David B. 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
38 BOLARIN Oluwatosin N. 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
39 LI Chenyu 7% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
40 CHEN Zhong Han 21% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
41 CIOLINO Jacob F. 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 4%
42 BARTCH Ethan L. 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
43 NIKOLOV Peter 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% -
44 ELLINGTON Keegan A. - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
45 CUMMINGS Kai 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
46 HONG James 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
47 MA Bochen 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
48 HOORNSTRA David S. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
49 WANG Albert 4% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
50 HUNKER Frederick 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
51 ZRELAK Teig 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
52 WEI Zheng (Jonny) 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% -
52 EVANS Grant 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
54 KRZYSIAK David F. 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
55 ZENG Zihan 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
56 EVANS Allen L. 11% 38% 35% 14% 2% -
57 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
58 DICKSON Tim 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
59 PAN Tristan 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
60 KRAJ Pawel 2% 14% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
61 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
62 PAINE Evan J. 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
63 THRASHER Andrew W. 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
64 FILONENKO Mark N. 17% 39% 33% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.