Fortune Fencing SYC/RCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Friday, March 18, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LO Jake 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 42% 10%
2 GALLO James 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
3 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
3 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
5 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
6 DOWDELL Riley 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
7 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
8 KIM Sullivan 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
9 LEE Chun Po 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
10 ZHU Eric 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
11 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
12 BARG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
13 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
14 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
15 PARK Elliot 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
16 WANG Devon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
17 CASTELLY Luke 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
18 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
19 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
20 BRUSKOTTER Reiland 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
21 KIM Ian 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
22 YUEN Nathan 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
23 GAO Zachary 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
24 WANG Owen 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
25 QUITORIANO Matthew 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
26 XIONG Aaron 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
27 PAK Elliot 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
28 WATT Darren 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
29 PRAKASH Hari 100% 97% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
30 LOFTUS Luca 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
31 EVERS Gabriel 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
32 LEE Bryson 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
33 MIAO Kunqi 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
34 FU Leon 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
35 ANDERSON Kai 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
36 ZHUANG William 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
37 KAO Yishane 100% 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
38 MCADOO Declan 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
39 KIM Jayden 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
40 HINTON Evan 100% 62% 18% 3% - - -
41 CHEN Zhengyang 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
42 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
43 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
44 MENDOZA Zander 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
45 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
45 ARMITAGE Liam 100% 44% 10% 1% - - -
47 RUDYK George 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
48 LIU Yikun 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
49 JU Hanul 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
50 LAU Christian 100% 81% 37% 9% 1% - -
51 YU Austin 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
52 LEE JiYuen 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
53 NUGENT Jack 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
54 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
54 BUNDY Liam 100% 92% 35% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.