THRUST FALL ROC/RYC w/Veterans and Y8

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, November 3, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
2 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 27%
3 PO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
3 WANG Jackson 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
5 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
6 GARCIA Sebastian R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
7 LIN James G. 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
8 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
9 MARX Jackson L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
10 LI Ayren 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 3%
11 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 11%
12 LI Yao (Liam) 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
13 WANG Mason 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
14 KOVACS Wyatt 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 5% -
15 XIANG Derrick 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
16 GENIESER Graydon 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
17 CATINO Brennen 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
18 WANG Julang 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
19 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 13%
20 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
21 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 17%
22 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 16%
23 LOGAN Kai 100% 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1%
24 ZHOU Leon 100% 100% 97% 74% 31% 5%
25 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 92% 58% 19% 3%
26 GUO Justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 5%
27 NICOLL William 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
28 MATSAKH Philip 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
29 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 13%
30 OZBURN Will 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
31 ZENG Rick 100% 74% 25% 4% - -
32 ZHANG Aaron 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
33 LIU Ryan 100% 95% 69% 28% 5% < 1% -
34 PARK Joseph 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
35 XIAO Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
36 SHIM Peter S. 100% 99% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
37 AROUH Dylan 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 10%
38 MILLER Jordan 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 25% 2%
39 XU Ethan 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 1%
40 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12% -
41 JIA Jing Yu 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
42 ARCE Andrew W. 100% 72% 20% 2% - -
43 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
44 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% 1%
45 LIEW Jeremy K. 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
46 UNGERER Roger M. 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5% -
47 GAO Payton 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3% -
48 LEE Brendan 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
48 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
50 CHUNG Ian 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
51 HUANG Julian 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 4% -
52 HOSANAGAR Ninad 100% 28% 3% - - -
53 LEWIS Nikhil I. 100% 53% 9% 1% - -
54 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 95% 63% 24% 5% - -
55 LEE Eugene 100% 88% 44% 7% 1% - -
56 BANG Ian 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
57 SHIN Jiho 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
58 CHA James 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
58 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 58% 13% 1% - -
60 BROOKS Matthew 100% 90% 55% 19% 4% - -
61 BOBROW Silas 100% 99% 91% 54% 16% 2%
62 LI Allen 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
63 HIGGASON Hugh 100% 93% 29% 4% - -
64 WEI Qian 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
65 CHOI Eugene 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
66 BANG Sian 100% 33% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.