Morris Cup RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, January 15, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Event Center at Valley Forge - King of Prussia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
2 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 40%
3 JUN Jaywu 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
3 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
5 DUAN Eric 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
6 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 44% 9%
7 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
8 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 91% 62% 25% 4%
9 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
10 KUMAR Aidan 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
11 GONG Haixiang 100% 95% 62% 23% 4% -
12 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 8%
13 LI Jalen 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
14 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 6%
15 SATTERFIELD Donald 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
16 SERAFIN Ben 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
17 KNOX James 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
18 LEE Hudson 100% 100% 99% 86% 49% 12%
19 NATSVLISHVILI John Vano 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
20 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
20 NOVOJILOV Alexei 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 22%
22 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
23 CHOI Aleksey 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
24 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
25 TEH Steven 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
26 ZIAEE Armin 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
27 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
28 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
29 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
30 JONES Tyler 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
31 TANG WanLi 100% 33% 5% - - -
32 PETROV Niki A. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
33 XIA Oliver 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1%
34 KUBATIN Anton V. 100% 87% 49% 16% 2% -
34 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
36 HU Robert J. 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
37 MAHESH Tarun 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
38 POIST Wylie 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 3%
39 BYARS John 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
40 ZHANG Ethan 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% -
41 JACKSON Nicholas 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
42 JOSLIN Tyler 100% 97% 77% 36% 7% 1%
42 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
44 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 58% 14% 1% - -
45 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
46 BRUNDAGE Nevan 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
47 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
48 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 92% 57% 14% 1% -
49 PAN Tristan 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
50 MCWILLIAMS Miles 100% 70% 26% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.