Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, August 27, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
2 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 WOO Christian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
3 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
5 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
6 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
7 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
8 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 6%
9 CO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
9 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
11 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
12 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
13 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
14 KIM Minhyeok 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
15 SMITH Grant D. 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 13% 1%
16 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
17 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
18 NAVARRO Kato 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% -
19 OH Jaden 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 3%
20 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4%
21 PONS Diego 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
22 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
23 YU Jason 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 4%
24 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 14% 1%
25 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10% 1%
26 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 4%
27 SHEN Owen 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
28 LYNCH Owen C. 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 10% 1%
29 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
30 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 8%
31 MYERS Dean 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
32 PIESNER Zachary C. 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 3%
33 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
34 BAEK David 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
35 DERRICK Blake 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
36 CHEN Justin K. 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2%
37 MA Andrew 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
38 GREENEBAUM Oliver 100% 48% 11% 1% < 1% -
39 TEH Ryan 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 11% 1%
40 LO Preston 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
40 MA Bryant 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14% 1%
42 SAH Steven 100% 88% 47% 12% 1% - -
43 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 37% 5%
44 PARK Rion 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
45 LI Avery Peihong 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 9%
46 WONG Evan 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
47 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
48 YI William 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
49 BORG Matthew 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
50 LAM Nicolas 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 3% -
51 GOBBO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
52 RUBIN Max 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
52 EDISON Ansel 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
54 WANG Ethan 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
55 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
56 LE Jacob W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
57 PINCHENG Yao 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2%
58 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 78% 30% 5% - -
59 ATTIA Aly 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
60 LI Jett 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
61 PARK Sky 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 4%
62 LE Jacob H. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
63 ZHOU Oscar J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
64 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% - -
65 LLIDO Soren 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
66 UHLIG Cole 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
67 TUAN Evan 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% -
68 LI Matthew 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 2%
69 WU Lucas 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3%
70 REICHEL Ezra 100% 99% 86% 41% 9% 1% -
71 LING Carson Jr 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% - -
72 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
73 ZHAO Bowen 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
74 CHOURASIA Ashirvad 100% 80% 38% 8% 1% - -
75 TULYAG Azim 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
76 PARK David 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
77 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
78 SIDDIQI Amman 100% 37% 6% - - - -
79 HE Bourne 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
80 WILLEY Emerson 100% 39% 5% - - - -
81 MONTGOMERY Georgie 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
82 CHANG Nathan 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
83 ZHAN Kevin 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% 1% -
83 YORK Lucas 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
85 KHER Roan 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 27% 4%
86 CHUN Dashel 100% 76% 31% 6% - - -
87 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 59% 15% 2% - -
88 BUTLER Owen 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
89 DULAI Angad 100% 88% 51% 14% 2% - -
90 MAK Osman K. 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
91 GORDON William L. 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
92 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 97% 71% 28% 5% - -
93 PETROV Mikhail 100% 81% 25% 3% - - -
94 MORTON Joshua 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.