October NAC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Monday, October 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIU Aiden - - - 6% 34% 59%
2 LIN James G. - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
3 MIN Eric - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
3 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
5 WONG Adrian - - - 1% 13% 43% 43%
6 LIN Michael - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
7 CO Dylan - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
8 CANLAS Nathan - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
9 DESHMUKH Arjun - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
10 COELHO Cristiano P. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
11 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
12 TRAUGOT Owen G. - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
13 LO Preston - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
14 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
15 QIAN Jason H. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
16 KIAYIAS Aris - 1% 15% 40% 36% 9%
17 LI Matthew - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
18 SISINNI Riccardo - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
19 MORROW Brenden - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
20 HUANG Eythan - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2%
21 LING Eddie - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 9%
22 XU Andy P. - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 8%
23 TANG Owen S. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
24 DERRICK Blake - 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
25 LEE Brendan - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
26 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) - 3% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1%
27 MATSAKH Philip - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
28 DINSAY Kristjan - - 4% 27% 47% 22%
29 TANG August L. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 4%
30 CORTRIGHT Skipper - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
31 LI Aaron - 1% 6% 25% 40% 24% 5%
32 LE Jacob H. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
33 GUO Justin - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
34 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
35 LEE Jonah - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 24%
36 LEE Christopher T. - - 4% 23% 45% 24% 4%
37 LIU Derek - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
38 SUN Ryan - 8% 47% 35% 9% 1%
38 LI Samuel - 4% 23% 45% 25% 3%
40 YAO Bradley - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
41 HUANG Jonathan - 1% 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
42 NICOLETTI Luca - - 2% 11% 34% 40% 13%
43 FUKUDA Diego - 1% 8% 26% 37% 24% 5%
44 SHENG Dalton - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
45 RAJ Jay - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
46 CHAN Ian 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
47 YU Jason - 1% 10% 34% 42% 13%
48 TANG Alexander L. - 2% 23% 43% 27% 5%
49 NGUYEN Martin - 1% 20% 42% 29% 6%
50 SENIC Lucas - 6% 28% 42% 20% 3%
51 WONG Garrick G. - - - 5% 28% 48% 19%
52 YI William - 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
53 MAO Lucas 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 7% -
54 WU Alber Y. - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
55 ZHANG Matthew 1% 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
56 SHEN Mingxuan 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
57 RASMUSSEN Sage 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 4%
58 FEDELI Francesco - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
59 LIU Zixian (Aaron) - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
60 CHENG Ethan - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
61 TULYAG Azim 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
62 SHAO Eric - 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
63 CHO Xzander 2% 17% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
64 XIE Buster 2% 19% 38% 29% 10% 2% -
65 TANG Albert - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
66 LIU Ethan - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
67 SONG Noel - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
68 WU Lucas - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
69 ZHANG Aaron - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
70 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn - 5% 28% 44% 20% 3% -
70 STRINGER David - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
72 CHEN Charlie Tian-You - 1% 10% 37% 42% 10%
73 LORENZO Alejandro - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
74 WANG Rory 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
75 TONKOVICH Ryan 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
76 WANG Brian 4% 27% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
77 DESERANNO Leander 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
78 CHEN Kyle P. - 1% 17% 46% 30% 6%
79 PARK Rion 2% 25% 43% 25% 5% -
80 NGAI Julian 2% 28% 43% 22% 4% -
80 PARRISH Evan - 25% 47% 24% 4% -
82 GERRISH William 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
83 BLACK Zachary 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
84 LEE Eugene 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
85 WU Alistair - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1%
86 KIM Harrison - 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
87 LI Toby 2% 22% 39% 27% 9% 1% -
88 FANG Jaden 7% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
89 ZHAO Adam - 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
90 ROZALSKI Eli 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
91 VANOYEN Dominick 1% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
92 DHOKTE Neev 8% 36% 39% 15% 2% - -
93 GUTH Joseph - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
94 SIMONOV Timofey - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
94 JOHNSON Soren 26% 49% 21% 4% - - -
96 TSAY Jordan R. 1% 12% 42% 35% 9% 1% -
97 TWEMLOW Sacha - 33% 46% 18% 2% -
98 WONG Yuheng Isaac 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
99 WILLEY Emerson 47% 47% 6% - - -
100 NOFZIGER Bennett 48% 39% 12% 2% - -
101 KIM Jonah 22% 66% 12% 1% - -
102 KIM Brian 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
103 ALLEN Henry G. 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
104 LEE Charles T 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
105 XU Ethan 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
106 MODADUGU Aryan 26% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
107 KOE Beckett 5% 29% 42% 20% 4% - -
108 KUANG Aaron 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
109 RIPA Joseph K. 13% 54% 28% 5% - - -
109 PARK William 13% 45% 31% 9% 1% - -
111 CHUN Dashel 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
112 SAH Steven 3% 40% 40% 15% 2% - -
113 HOWLAND Jonas 39% 45% 14% 2% - - -
114 THIYAGARAJAA Ari 27% 52% 19% 3% - - -
115 BAI Brian 46% 44% 10% 1% - - -
116 XU Ethan 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
117 LIANG Ethan 72% 27% 1% - - -
118 PETROV Mikhail 29% 48% 20% 3% - - -
119 REID Wesley 98% 2% - - - -
120 BLACK Henry 81% 17% 1% - - -
120 LINEBERRY CADEN 39% 52% 9% - - -
122 SHANNON Jack 56% 36% 7% 1% - - -
122 CROOM Tucker 63% 31% 5% - - - -
122 FLATEN Gunnar 9% 35% 39% 14% 2% - -
125 SUN Neo 87% 13% 1% - - - -
126 DIFRANK Tae 77% 21% 2% - - - -
127 SMITH Henry 52% 38% 9% 1% - - -
128 WEISS Quintin 70% 28% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.