October NAC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Monday, October 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
2 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 MIN Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
3 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
5 WONG Adrian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
6 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
7 CO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
8 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
9 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
10 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
11 WEI Qiancheng (Matt) 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
12 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
13 LO Preston 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
14 GUERRA Gabriel H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
15 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
16 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 100% 99% 85% 45% 9%
17 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
18 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
19 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
20 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
21 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 9%
22 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
23 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
24 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
25 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
26 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
27 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
28 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 22%
29 TANG August L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
30 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
31 LI Aaron 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 29% 5%
32 LE Jacob H. 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
33 GUO Justin 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
34 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
35 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
36 LEE Christopher T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 28% 4%
37 LIU Derek 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
38 SUN Ryan 100% 100% 91% 44% 9% 1%
38 LI Samuel 100% 100% 96% 73% 28% 3%
40 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
41 HUANG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
42 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
43 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
44 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
45 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
46 CHAN Ian 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 11% 1%
47 YU Jason 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 13%
48 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 98% 75% 32% 5%
49 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 99% 78% 36% 6%
50 SENIC Lucas 100% 100% 94% 65% 23% 3%
51 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 19%
52 YI William 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 14% 2%
53 MAO Lucas 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
54 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
55 ZHANG Matthew 100% 99% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
56 SHEN Mingxuan 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
57 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4%
58 FEDELI Francesco 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 18% 2%
59 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
60 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
61 TULYAG Azim 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
62 SHAO Eric 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
63 CHO Xzander 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
64 XIE Buster 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
65 TANG Albert 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
66 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 36%
67 SONG Noel 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
68 WU Lucas 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 19% 2%
69 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
70 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn 100% 100% 95% 68% 24% 3% -
70 STRINGER David 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
72 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 10%
73 LORENZO Alejandro 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
74 WANG Rory 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
75 TONKOVICH Ryan 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
76 WANG Brian 100% 96% 69% 29% 7% 1% -
77 DESERANNO Leander 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
78 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 99% 82% 36% 6%
79 PARK Rion 100% 98% 73% 30% 5% -
80 NGAI Julian 100% 98% 70% 27% 4% -
80 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 74% 28% 4% -
82 GERRISH William 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% -
83 BLACK Zachary 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
84 LEE Eugene 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
85 WU Alistair 100% 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
86 KIM Harrison 100% 100% 92% 61% 24% 4% -
87 LI Toby 100% 98% 76% 37% 10% 2% -
88 FANG Jaden 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
89 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
90 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
91 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 99% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
92 DHOKTE Neev 100% 92% 56% 17% 2% - -
93 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 3%
94 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
94 JOHNSON Soren 100% 74% 25% 4% - - -
96 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 99% 88% 45% 10% 1% -
97 TWEMLOW Sacha 100% 100% 67% 21% 3% -
98 WONG Yuheng Isaac 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
99 WILLEY Emerson 100% 53% 6% - - -
100 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 52% 14% 2% - -
101 KIM Jonah 100% 78% 13% 1% - -
102 KIM Brian 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
103 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
104 LEE Charles T 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% - -
105 XU Ethan 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
106 MODADUGU Aryan 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
107 KOE Beckett 100% 95% 66% 24% 4% - -
108 KUANG Aaron 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
109 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 87% 33% 5% - - -
109 PARK William 100% 87% 42% 11% 1% - -
111 CHUN Dashel 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
112 SAH Steven 100% 97% 57% 17% 3% - -
113 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
114 THIYAGARAJAA Ari 100% 73% 22% 3% - - -
115 BAI Brian 100% 54% 11% 1% - - -
116 XU Ethan 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
117 LIANG Ethan 100% 28% 1% - - -
118 PETROV Mikhail 100% 71% 24% 4% - - -
119 REID Wesley 100% 2% - - - -
120 BLACK Henry 100% 19% 1% - - -
120 LINEBERRY CADEN 100% 61% 9% - - -
122 SHANNON Jack 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
122 CROOM Tucker 100% 37% 6% - - - -
122 FLATEN Gunnar 100% 91% 55% 16% 2% - -
125 SUN Neo 100% 13% 1% - - - -
126 DIFRANK Tae 100% 23% 2% - - - -
127 SMITH Henry 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
128 WEISS Quintin 100% 30% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.