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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Thrust Winter RYC RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, February 10, 2019 at 8:30 AM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 DOUGLAS Oscar M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 49%
3 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
5 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
6 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
7 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
8 OUYANG Matt J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 34% 6%
9 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
10 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
11 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 5%
12 NICOLL William 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
13 MARX Jackson L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
14 GUO Sean 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 5%
15 LI Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
16 PROMRAT Pete 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
17 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
18 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
19 AHN Jun 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
20 LI Aaron 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
21 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
22 LI Ayren 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
23 WU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 3%
24 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
25 GAO Anthony 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 3%
26 SONG Bryan 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
27 LI Jinghua E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14% 1%
28 XIANG Derrick 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
30 KNIZHNIK David 100% 98% 82% 40% 9% 1% -
31 LOGAN Kai 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
32 NICOLL James 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
33 BASOK Nikita 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
34 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% 1%
36 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% - -
37 TORRES Treston 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% 1%
38 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
39 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
40 LIEW Jeremy K. 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
41 UHRMACHER Idris 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
42 XU Ethan 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 6% -
43 MUNDY Ezra 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
44 GUO Justin 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
45 LU Jason 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
46 ZHU Brandan 100% 41% 7% - - - -
47 LIU Ryan 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
48 WANG Julang 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
49 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
50 GAO Payton 100% 89% 41% 9% 1% - -
51 BADLANI Dev 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
53 CHENG Ethan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
54 SHIN Jiho 100% 92% 52% 13% 1% - -
55 SANDHU LERNER Armaan S. 100% 19% 1% - - - -
56 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.