South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, January 14, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Pasadena Convention Center - Visitors Center - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
2 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
3 RANGEL Arturo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
5 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
6 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
7 WANG owen 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
8 DONAHUE Lake 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
9 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
10 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
11 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
12 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
13 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
14 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 2%
15 MIAO KUNQI 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
16 TIEN Jabin 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10% 1%
17 JU Hanul 100% 97% 75% 33% 7% 1% < 1%
18 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
19 NAZARIAN Jonah 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
20 LIU Noah 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
21 ZHU Max 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
22 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
23 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
24 KOPPE Alexander 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 6%
25 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
26 JONES Caleb 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
27 LIU Yueri 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
28 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
29 YUEN Nathan 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
30 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 100% 99% 86% 53% 17% 2%
31 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
32 LEE Chun Po 100% 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
33 PAK Elliot 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2%
34 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
35 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
36 GUPTA Karan 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
37 NG Biwon 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
38 NALBANDIAN VAHAN P. 100% 92% 56% 19% 3% -
39 GU Aidan 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
40 MCDONALD Ethan 100% 100% 93% 68% 29% 6% -
41 LEE Bryson 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
42 SHIRLEY Kai 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
43 FAN Joshua 100% 29% 4% - - - -
44 DAO Alexander 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
45 LI zerong 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
46 POSSON Luke 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
47 LIU Yikun 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
48 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
49 SHEN Jiayi 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
50 BAGCHI Aritra 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3% -
51 PAINTER Noah 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
52 FERDOWSIAN Samuel A 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
53 GENCHEV Madav 100% 95% 62% 22% 4% - -
54 BUFFINGTON Bryson 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.