Treasure Chest RYC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 14, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RICHARD silas 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
2 TANG William 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
3 LOFTUS Luca 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
3 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60% 15%
5 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
6 TONG Samuel 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 29%
7 LI Yunji 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
8 CHANG Andrew 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
9 LEVENTAL Mark 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
10 LI Ethan R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
11 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
12 YU Austin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
13 SIM Ian 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% -
14 MANA Arnav 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
15 WAGHOLIKAR Prathit 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
16 WANG Devin 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 3%
17 MA Ryan 100% 100% 93% 61% 21% 2%
18 ZHAO Colin 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
19 ZHAO Yihan 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
20 REID Wesley 100% 97% 76% 35% 6% - -
21 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
22 WU Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49% 10%
23 GUO Woody 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
24 LEUNG Dylan 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
25 CLAES Thomas 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
26 BAKKEN Archer 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
26 HSU Joshua 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
28 YAN Eric 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
29 WONG Preston 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% - -
30 WU Steven 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
31 CHAUDHURI Kabir 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
32 QIAO James 100% 93% 59% 21% 4% -
33 LAU Alex 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 8%
34 DENG Andes 100% 51% 13% 2% - -
35 ZHOU Lawrence 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
36 YAO Tristan 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
36 HOROWITZ Gavin 100% 78% 29% 5% - -
38 GUIRAUDET Alistair 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
39 JAO Aaron 100% 83% 44% 14% 2% - -
40 JAMES Kaden 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
41 COLLINS Kaden 100% 97% 73% 24% 3% -
42 LIU Max 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
43 LAM Ethan 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% - -
44 NARAYANUN Advay 100% 54% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.