The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

River City Regional Rumble RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, February 11, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Greater Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CLICK Aiden - - - - 4% 28% 68%
2 WOZNIAK Fryderyk - 2% 14% 36% 38% 11%
3 NORTH Alexander M. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
3 DUAN eric - 1% 5% 24% 43% 27%
5 CHEN Brian 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
6 JORDAN Anton - 1% 6% 25% 42% 25%
7 SINGH Aryaman - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 3%
8 LE BORGNE Matthieu 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
9 WANG Clayton - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
10 TIKHONOV Iliya - 3% 17% 36% 33% 10%
11 LIN Harrison - 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 2%
12 YANG Boyan - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
13 CAO Brad - 2% 12% 31% 38% 18%
14 LEE Samuel Y. - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
15 HEADRICK Lance - 1% 12% 37% 39% 11%
16 CAO Albert - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
17 LEE JoonWon - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
18 DAN Rex - 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% -
19 GANTSOUDES Isaac 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
20 AMOLSCH Dylan 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
21 MEGGERS Davin 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
22 BERNARD Jack B. - 3% 20% 43% 29% 5%
23 XIAO Hanzhi (Shawn) - - 5% 23% 41% 27% 3%
24 GLENNON Sebastian J. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
24 MAROCHNIK Daniel 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
26 BUI Henry 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
27 ALI Farhan 1% 15% 43% 32% 9% 1%
28 MODANLOU Navid 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
29 FISHMAN Rahm 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
30 KANG EUNWOO 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
31 SINGH Ravin 3% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
32 CHENH Justin 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
33 SAUNIER Cameron 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
34 CHUNG Andrew 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
35 HULL Liam 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
36 CHEMEZOV Trent 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
37 PETROW Zoryan 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
38 LEE Aiden 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
39 KIM Joshua 15% 53% 27% 5% - - -
40 STEPHENS Corbin - 5% 20% 38% 29% 8%
40 CARNALL Hunter 44% 40% 13% 2% - -
42 KE Sebastian 15% 50% 29% 6% - -
43 FORAIDA Khalid 35% 43% 18% 3% - -
44 SERMONS Asa 13% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
45 BOUDREAUX James 1% 8% 34% 38% 16% 3% -
46 WATERS Nathaniel 61% 34% 5% - - -
47 TIKHONOV Daniel 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
48 MORALES Diego 58% 35% 7% 1% - - -
49 WANG Aiden 61% 32% 6% 1% - -
50 CARO Seph 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.