Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Friday, March 24, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
2 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
3 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
5 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
6 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
7 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
8 NAEMI Barsam 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
9 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
10 DONAHUE Lake 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 10%
11 MIAO KUNQI 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
12 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 3%
13 LIU Yueri 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
14 TANG William 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 6%
15 HSU Joshua 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
16 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
17 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
18 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
19 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
20 YU Austin 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
21 LEE Damien 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10% 1%
22 TUSANTOSO McKenzie 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 1%
23 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
24 KIM Minjae 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
25 LEE Jayden J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 3%
26 TANG Zheng 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3% -
27 AVETISIAN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 7%
28 LI Yunji 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
29 CHANG Andrew 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
30 WANG Joey 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
31 BAXTER Max 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
32 LEE Royce 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
33 KHALIL Younis 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 8%
34 GOROZA Eric 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2% -
35 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
36 LEE Aidan 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1%
37 HAN Wyatt 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% -
38 LI zerong 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
39 ZHAO Colin 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
40 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 26% 3%
41 LIANG Donny 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
42 WANG aaron 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
43 LEE Aiden 100% 99% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
44 KIM Alexander 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
45 MANA Arnav 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
46 CLAES Thomas 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
47 LEE Inwoo 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
48 HILL Tobin 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1%
49 AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% -
50 FEI Victor 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
51 MAXU Tiger 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
52 WU Johnny y. 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2% -
53 WONG Baron 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
54 CHUNG YEONSUN 100% 96% 71% 31% 6% -
55 SHEN Jiayi 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
56 AVETISIAN Michael 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
57 THOMAS Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
58 CHEN Ryan 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
59 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
60 GUO Woody 100% 97% 72% 27% 5% - -
61 KIM Remington 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
62 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
63 CHAN JR Jason 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
64 BARRERA Nathanael 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
65 WANG Devin 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
66 NASIROV Rolan 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 8% 1%
67 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
68 PROCTER Griffin 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
69 FU Adrian 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
70 QIU William 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -
71 BAKKEN Archer 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
72 JIANG Aaron 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
73 DAI Steven (Chengwen) 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
74 GADHVI Darius 100% 84% 39% 9% 1% - -
75 RONG Gordon 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
76 LIU Zicheng 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
77 LIU Max 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
78 MA Ciel 100% 83% 36% 7% 1% - -
79 CHEN Aiden 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
80 WOOLCOCK Cash 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.