Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
2 SOTO-ULEV Aden A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
3 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
3 LO Preston 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
5 FUKUDA Diego 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
6 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
7 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
8 MORROW Brenden 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
9 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
10 LI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 22%
11 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
12 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
13 KETTELLE John 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
14 PONS Diego 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
15 CHEN Hanson 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
16 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
17 LING Eddie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
18 CHEN Charlie Tian-You 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
19 YANG Charles 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
20 BIELER Mason 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
21 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 10%
22 CAJERO Luis O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
23 LEE Jayden J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 3%
24 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 5%
25 LE Jacob H. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 23% 3%
25 PINCHENG Yao 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
27 OROPEZA David 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
28 NAVARRO Kato 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 4%
29 ZHANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
30 FUKUDA Brando 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 17% 2%
31 TALASILA Arush 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
32 RAUTUREAU Arthur 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
33 HUANG Jonathan 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
34 CHUANG Oscar 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
35 PARK William 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -
36 WONG Evan 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
37 WONG Yuheng Isaac 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
38 PARK Rion 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
39 NGAI Julian 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20% 2%
40 LI Toby 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 12%
41 TSAY Jordan R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 2%
42 RAUTUREAU Hugo 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
43 ZHONG Maxwell 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% - -
43 PARK David 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
45 CHANG Jeremy 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 15% 2%
46 CHANG Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 2%
47 GORDON William L. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
48 SISINNI Leonardo 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
49 SAH Steven 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 3%
50 AGRAWAL Niki 100% 100% 97% 73% 30% 5%
51 XIE Buster 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 5%
52 LIU William 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
53 LI Edison M. 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
54 LAM Nicolas 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
55 RYOU Andy 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
56 ZHANG Graham 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3% -
57 CHEN Matthew 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
58 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
59 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
60 ZHANG Raphael 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
61 LEE JISUNG 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
62 LEE SIYUN 100% 90% 54% 17% 3% - -
63 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
64 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
65 RODRIGUEZ Tyler 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
66 BAE Eugene 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% 1%
67 ZHOU Ryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17% 1%
68 KIM Jonah 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
69 DENG David 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
70 SEIGEL Duncan 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
71 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 3%
72 TULYAG Azim 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
73 LU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
74 ZHOU Shawn 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2%
75 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 3%
76 CHAN Joseph 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
77 KIM Andrew 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
78 HUANG Nathan 100% 92% 57% 17% 2% - -
79 NISHIHIRA Tyler 100% 70% 26% 5% - -
80 KIM Daniel Y. 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
81 ZHANG Lucas 100% 100% 97% 68% 25% 4%
82 ZHAN Kevin 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% -
83 YU ZiRun (Kinton) 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
84 CHANG Nathan 100% 95% 67% 28% 5% - -
85 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
86 CHOI Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
87 TSOI Spencer 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
88 LI Gen 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
89 ZHANG Andrew 100% 83% 44% 14% 2% - -
90 ZHANG Jayden 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
90 CHUN Dashel 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
92 PONTOPPIDAN Erik 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
93 YOU Alan 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
94 SHORTER David Alexander 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% - -
95 LING Carson Jr 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
95 HOU Xiaolin (Kobe) 100% 84% 23% 3% - -
97 KULKARNI Karan 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
98 LEE Euan 100% 86% 47% 12% 1% - -
99 DANIEL Nikith 100% 92% 57% 18% 3% - -
100 LOZANO Veyron Jericho 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
101 WONG Braxton 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% - -
102 WU Thomas 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
103 FOY Grant 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
103 LEE Daniel 100% 90% 52% 14% 2% - -
105 PE Noah 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
105 MITCHELL Max 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
107 DULAI Agam 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
108 GALLO Michael 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
109 LEE Mason 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
110 UPENDER West 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
111 MONTGOMERY Georgie 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
112 LIANG Ethan 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
113 PETROV Mikhail 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
114 BOYNTON Alex 100% 25% - - - -
115 LI Richard 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% -
116 MANIKTALA Suvir 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
117 GUO Joey 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
117 BANUELOS Dario 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
119 MA Oliver 100% 95% 55% 17% 3% - -
120 DEJOURNETT Jacob 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
121 HE Bourne 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
121 JACOB Ezra 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.