Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | CHEN Brian | V V V D V V | V V V V V | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 2 | DAN Rex | V V D D V | V V V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 3 | SLOUGH Sean | V V V V D V | V V V | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 3 | SO Lorenzo | V V V V D V | V V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 5 | BUI Henry | V V V V D D | V V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 6 | AMOLSCH Dylan | V V V D V D | V V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 7 | HU Robert J. | V D V D V D | V V V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 8 | TOMASZEWSKI Joshua | V D D D V | V V V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 9 | MEGGERS Davin | V V V D V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 10 | LEE Aiden | D V D V V | V V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 11 | BERNARD Jack B. | D V V V D | V V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 12 | HU Alexander W. | D V D V V | V V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 13 | TIKHONOV Daniel | D D V V D | V V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 13 | HULL Liam | D V D V D | V V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 15 | CARNALL Hunter | D D D D V V | V V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 16 | PATEL Shloke | V D D D V D | V V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 17 | METZLER Calder | V V V V V V | D | 2.3 | 6 | +3.7 |
| 18 | TRITHART Jacob M. | V V V V V | D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 19 | MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert | V V V V V | D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 20 | RUSSELL James | V V V V D V | D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 21 | CHUNG Andrew | V V V V D V | D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 22 | ZIMINSKY Karel M. | D V V V V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 23 | MARKOWITZ William M. | V V D V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 24 | BANNEN Nicholas | V V V D V | D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 25 | HU Anton | V V D D V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 26 | ROTHKA Spencer J. | V V D V V D | V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 27 | TIRADO Giancarlo | V D V D V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 28 | WU Shaochi | V V V V D D | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 29 | ZHANG Sen | D D V V D V | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 30 | MAROCHNIK Daniel | D D V V D | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 31 | CHENH Justin | D D V D D V | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 32 | CHEN Chang-Rung | D D D D V D | V D | 5.0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| 33 | HAN Sam | V D V V D | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 34 | KIM Joshua | V D D D V V | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 35 | MILLSON Daniel | D D V V D V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 36 | BUCCELLATO Joel S. | D V D V D V | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 37 | MORTIMER Gavin | D V V D V D | D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 38 | METZLER Jack | V D V D D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 39 | JONES Jackson | V D V D D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 40 | CARO Seph | V D V D D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 41 | KIM Jeff | V D D V D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 42 | WANG Aiden | D V D D V | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 43 | STONE Ken | D D D D V | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 44 | HURST Palmer | D D D D V D | D | 4.2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| 45 | RUSSELL Tallis | D D D V D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 46 | VADDE Pranav | D D D D D V | D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 47 | KNIGHT Ryan | D D V D D D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 48 | BOYKO Frank C. | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 48 | FORAIDA Khalid | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 50 | ANDERSON Donald | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 51 | KANG JUNWOO | D D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 52 | HUGHES Tyler | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.