Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, April 15, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Brian - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
2 DAN Rex 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
3 SLOUGH Sean - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
3 SO Lorenzo - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 6%
5 BUI Henry - 4% 19% 34% 30% 12% 2%
6 AMOLSCH Dylan - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
7 HU Robert J. 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 8% 1%
8 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
9 MEGGERS Davin - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
10 LEE Aiden - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
11 BERNARD Jack B. - 1% 8% 29% 41% 21%
12 HU Alexander W. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
13 TIKHONOV Daniel - 2% 14% 33% 36% 15%
13 HULL Liam 1% 9% 33% 37% 17% 3%
15 CARNALL Hunter 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
16 PATEL Shloke - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
17 METZLER Calder 2% 20% 37% 29% 11% 2% < 1%
18 TRITHART Jacob M. - 1% 11% 33% 40% 16%
19 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
20 RUSSELL James 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
21 CHUNG Andrew 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 9% 1%
22 ZIMINSKY Karel M. - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
23 MARKOWITZ William M. 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
24 BANNEN Nicholas 1% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
25 HU Anton 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
26 ROTHKA Spencer J. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
27 TIRADO Giancarlo 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
28 WU Shaochi 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
29 ZHANG Sen - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
30 MAROCHNIK Daniel 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
31 CHENH Justin 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
32 CHEN Chang-Rung - < 1% 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
33 HAN Sam 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
34 KIM Joshua 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% - -
35 MILLSON Daniel 4% 20% 34% 27% 12% 3% -
36 BUCCELLATO Joel S. - 4% 15% 29% 30% 17% 4%
37 MORTIMER Gavin - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
38 METZLER Jack 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
39 JONES Jackson 9% 33% 36% 18% 4% -
40 CARO Seph 23% 48% 24% 5% - -
41 KIM Jeff - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
42 WANG Aiden 23% 44% 26% 7% 1% -
43 STONE Ken 38% 44% 16% 2% - -
44 HURST Palmer - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
45 RUSSELL Tallis 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
46 VADDE Pranav 77% 21% 2% - - - -
47 KNIGHT Ryan 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
48 BOYKO Frank C. 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% -
48 FORAIDA Khalid 34% 42% 20% 4% - -
50 ANDERSON Donald 30% 45% 21% 4% - -
51 KANG JUNWOO 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
52 HUGHES Tyler 9% 32% 36% 18% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.