Captain Steere Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, June 11, 2023 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
2 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
3 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 7%
3 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
5 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
6 SHREM Samuel G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
7 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
8 KING Cameron 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
9 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
10 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
11 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
12 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 11% 1%
13 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
14 CAO Albert 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
14 MEGGERS Davin 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
16 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
17 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
18 UPSHAW Micah 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
19 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
20 ABBOUD Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
21 O'DOWD Andrew J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
22 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
23 LIN Harrison 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 7% 1%
24 CAO Brad 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
25 HITCHCOCK David 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
26 HANSEN Lars 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
27 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
28 LEE Aiden 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
29 DUAN Eric 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 9% 1%
30 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
31 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
32 WU Shaochi 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - - -
33 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7% -
34 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
35 AYMETT Robert (Skip) S. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
35 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
37 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 6%
38 DAN Rex 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
39 CHEN Leonardo 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
40 SO Lorenzo 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
41 DAN Chuntao 100% 98% 65% 23% 4% - -
42 GAO Zachary 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
43 MARKOWITZ William M. 100% 97% 76% 37% 10% 1% -
44 MILLER Kurt 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% - -
45 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
46 HU Robert J. 100% 87% 44% 12% 2% - -
47 KIM Joshua 100% 96% 47% 11% 1% - - -
48 SINFUEGO Adrian 100% 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% - -
49 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 2% -
50 SIEDOW William 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
51 YU Jason 100% 73% 29% 6% - - -
52 BLACK Ethan 100% 94% 66% 26% 6% 1% - -
53 SIEDOW Jeffrey 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
54 PETRUNKO Kyrylo 100% 63% 20% 3% - - - -
55 LACHER Daniel 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
56 HOLLING Emma 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
57 TYLER-HALL Samuel 100% 89% 52% 14% 2% - -
58 BERNSTEIN Leo 100% 12% - - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.