NEUSFA 2023 Pomme De Terre

Senior Men's Épée

Saturday, June 17, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Brandeis University - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIN Owen 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
2 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
3 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
3 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
5 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
5 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
7 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
8 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
9 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
10 JONES Tristan Kai 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
10 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 61%
12 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
13 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
14 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 13%
15 ZUCKER Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 23%
16 YU Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
17 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
18 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
19 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
20 JOSLIN Tyler 100% 99% 90% 55% 14% 1%
21 SHA Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 2%
22 PRIHODKO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 39% 4%
23 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 7% -
24 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 4%
25 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 100% 96% 71% 27% 5% -
26 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 13%
27 SKAALAND Will 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 1%
28 KIM Byung 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
29 STUSNICK Hunter 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
30 ALFAIATE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 38%
31 JIANG Ryan 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
32 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 96% 64% 22% 3%
33 ROUSE Brian G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
34 CRONIN Darragh J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
35 HITCHCOCK David 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 50% 7%
36 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 97% 74% 31% 5%
37 PETROV Niki A. 100% 81% 36% 7% 1% -
37 DOELEMAN Zeno 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 15%
39 KRONROD Tal 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
40 FULLER George K. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
41 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61% 12%
42 SCOTT George R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 13%
43 ZHANG William 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35% 6%
44 WANG Justin 100% 100% 96% 72% 29% 5% -
45 BELLIVEAU Raven C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 11%
46 ZHANG Thomas D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
47 LAI Boden 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
48 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 2%
48 STEVENS James F. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
50 PHO Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 31%
51 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 99% 94% 70% 29% 3%
52 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 100% 97% 68% 18% 2% -
53 HOWLETT Daniel 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
54 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
55 CHESNEY Aiden R. 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1% -
56 JACOVINO Jonathan S. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4% -
57 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% - -
58 BEALS Alden 100% 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
59 RUSSELL Edward 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16% 1%
60 JENNINGS Adin 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
61 BUSH Thomas 100% 99% 90% 55% 17% 2%
62 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 95% 68% 29% 5% -
63 SWIERZEWSKI Tomasz 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
64 MCILWAIN Wesley D. 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
65 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 83% 38% 8% 1% - -
66 SONG Troy 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
67 YAKIMENKO Andrei 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
68 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 93% 57% 17% 2% -
69 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
70 KIM Nathan 100% 74% 28% 5% - - -
71 FOLEY Kevin 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 5%
72 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 76% 27% 4% - - -
73 ZHANG William 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1% -
74 DOWD Peter L. 100% 67% 20% 3% - - -
75 XIE Brandon 100% 97% 74% 30% 5% -
76 KAIN Brad 100% 88% 45% 10% 1% -
77 THORDARSON Paul (Thor) J. 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 6%
78 ZEBROSE Cordell B. 100% 100% 92% 60% 20% 2%
78 MEN Junda 100% 88% 54% 18% 2% -
80 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
81 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 73% 16% 1% - -
82 PAYNE Massimo 100% 99% 90% 58% 18% 2%
83 QUINLAN Sean 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
84 SHONEMAN Sam 100% 42% 6% - - -
85 JACKSON Nicholas 100% 58% 15% 2% - -
86 HU Jansen T. 100% 99% 90% 57% 19% 2% -
87 NEALE James H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 19% 2%
88 DELAND Stuart R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19% 1%
89 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
90 THOMPSON Ian 100% 99% 90% 51% 14% 1% -
91 MARTONE Matt L. 100% 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% -
91 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 100% 96% 61% 21% 3% -
93 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 57% 9% 1% - - -
94 WENGER Caleb 100% 98% 81% 43% 10% 1% -
95 ZHANG Roland 100% 94% 45% 10% 1% - -
96 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 99% 84% 37% 6% - -
97 REINEKE Gerhard 100% 78% 24% 3% - - -
97 REINEKE Alexander 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
99 BELLIVEAU Shane 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9% -
99 HOWARD Jackson 100% 85% 44% 10% 1% - -
101 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
102 SMITH Troy H. 100% 98% 82% 42% 10% 1%
103 TORRES Gianni 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
104 PAN Anthony 100% 49% 10% 1% - -
105 MCCALL Aidan 100% 86% 41% 9% 1% -
106 FRY Nicholas (Nico) J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 11%
106 VINE Ross 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
108 MURRAY John P. 100% 95% 66% 23% 2% -
109 GREGORY Abram 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
110 DEVINE Colin 100% 68% 14% 1% - - -
111 FENG Du 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
112 LISANKE Victor 100% 55% 12% 1% - - -
113 ROSENBLUM Addison J. 100% 55% 11% 1% - - -
113 NORTON Theo B. 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% -
115 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 75% 30% 6% - - -
116 VALAYANNOPOULOS Nicolas 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
117 BUISINE Sebastien 100% 91% 58% 19% 2% - -
118 BUISINE Aurelien 100% 19% 1% - - - -
119 GERSEN Jacob 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% 1%
120 SULKIS Adam 100% 45% 7% - - - -
121 BUTTS Brendan 100% 57% 5% - - - -
121 BRUEGGEMANN Max 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
123 SPRINGER Michael 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
124 MASSE Jack 100% 44% 5% - - -
125 DANG Timmy 100% 65% 22% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.