NEUSFA 2023 Pomme De Terre

Senior Men's Foil

Sunday, June 18, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Brandeis University - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - - 7% 40% 53%
2 DAI Jonathan T. - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
3 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - - 1% 17% 82%
3 LI Richard - - - - 3% 27% 70%
5 HOLMES Stuart S. - - - - 5% 39% 56%
6 LI Eric - - 1% 14% 39% 35% 10%
7 KNIZHNIK David - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
8 LI Arvin - 1% 13% 37% 36% 12% 1%
9 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - - - 7% 50% 42%
9 TAHOUN Mostafa - - 5% 23% 42% 25% 4%
11 KWON Ethan - - - 3% 29% 68%
12 KAO Castor T. - - - - 3% 36% 60%
13 ZOBEL Eric H. - - - - 7% 49% 44%
14 WU Alexander - - - 2% 17% 56% 25%
15 SIMA Congyu Josh - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
16 GONG Benjamin - - 2% 12% 37% 43% 8%
17 ADLER David R. - - - 5% 26% 46% 22%
18 HOOSHI JAYDEN C. - - - 2% 17% 45% 36%
19 ZHAI Jeffrey - - - 1% 10% 46% 42%
20 SHA Yi Peng - - - 1% 23% 53% 22%
21 HOOSHI DYLAN M. - - - 1% 12% 60% 27%
22 SONG Noel - 4% 19% 39% 30% 7% -
23 LIU Derek - - 5% 33% 41% 18% 3%
24 MAGIDSON Gabriel - - 7% 30% 46% 16%
25 JIANG Owen - - 6% 32% 50% 11%
26 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - - 1% 11% 45% 44%
27 WELCH Kyle J. - - 1% 9% 41% 49%
28 DOBBINS Evan W. - - - 7% 29% 43% 21%
29 HE Xiangrui - 1% 10% 33% 39% 16% 2%
30 GUPTA Varun - 1% 15% 44% 34% 6% -
31 ACHILOV Sayid - - 6% 26% 42% 23% 2%
32 MIALL Steven A. - - 5% 27% 44% 23%
33 LIN Michael - 1% 9% 33% 41% 16%
34 LIN James G. - - - 5% 26% 46% 23%
35 XIAO Bowen 2% 18% 45% 28% 7% 1%
36 DAVIDSON Elliot - - 6% 31% 51% 11% 1%
37 JI Aidan Y. - - 1% 11% 52% 32% 5%
38 SHIN Joshua J. - - 2% 14% 38% 37% 9%
39 JACOVINO Jonathan S. - 3% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
40 LI Ayren 1% 8% 29% 40% 21% 2% -
41 LIGH Thomas 1% 10% 35% 38% 14% 2% -
42 SHAO Eric 3% 32% 44% 19% 2% -
43 BING Charles - - 2% 18% 51% 28%
44 WANG Mason - 7% 36% 42% 13% 1%
45 DEGREMONT Henri S. - 3% 22% 46% 25% 4%
46 MILLER Aidan A. 2% 19% 46% 28% 5% -
47 ASCIONED'ELIA Adam I. 1% 13% 39% 37% 10% 1%
48 BARTRAM Carter H. - 4% 19% 39% 31% 8%
49 TSAI Max W. - 3% 19% 41% 29% 7% 1%
50 TEMPLE Jackson - - 1% 9% 32% 41% 18%
51 CHOI Mason - 1% 8% 29% 41% 20% 1%
52 XU Ethan - 5% 30% 48% 16% 1% -
53 GAO William - 1% 10% 35% 40% 14%
54 PITERBARG Maxim 1% 9% 39% 40% 11% 1%
55 AMRANI David - 17% 48% 30% 5% - -
56 CHREKY Jacob D. - 5% 27% 41% 22% 4% -
56 ZHENG Harrison 3% 23% 44% 27% 3% - -
58 MENG Zhaoyi - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1%
59 GARDINER Luke J. 4% 51% 37% 8% - - -
60 BOUSSY Luciano 6% 35% 48% 10% 1% - -
61 FENG Michael 25% 50% 21% 3% - -
62 LUM-DEBONO Alex 2% 23% 44% 26% 4% -
63 SURESH Rohan 28% 53% 18% 2% - -
64 DJONOUMA Toyohm 41% 45% 13% 1% - -
65 CHENG Ethan 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4% -
65 MCQUIDE Elliot 23% 54% 20% 2% - - -
67 YANG Dylan 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -
68 CHUA Kirby 6% 30% 42% 20% 2% - -
69 LOZADA Gabriel G. 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
70 BALDWIN Benjamin 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
71 CURTIS William K. 1% 35% 44% 18% 3% - -
72 WILBERT Matt 1% 9% 30% 40% 19% 1% -
73 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
74 LAO Kevin 32% 49% 17% 2% - - -
75 LI Aaron 1% 10% 38% 37% 13% 2% -
76 WANG Rory 15% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
77 GE Daniel 37% 49% 13% 1% - -
78 HO Jor Sam 76% 22% 2% - - -
79 WOHLERS Casey 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
80 KONG Luculentus X. 4% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
81 WOHLERS Trevor 5% 28% 44% 22% 2% - -
82 CUTLER Andrew 1% 16% 49% 28% 5% - -
83 TANG Albert - 1% 11% 40% 40% 8% -
84 ARRISON Alexandrew C. 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
85 YEE Michael 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1% -
86 SHAMBARGER Graham 29% 48% 21% 2% - - -
87 WILSON Samuel S. 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
88 BISHOP Henry 43% 45% 11% 1% - - -
89 MUNDAHL Brandon D. - 20% 45% 27% 7% 1% -
90 TIBBETTS Justin 56% 38% 5% - - - -
91 HORAK Peter C. 32% 48% 18% 2% - -
92 TAM Kyle 37% 50% 13% - - - -
93 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 6% 28% 41% 20% 4% -
94 DENG Kenny 30% 51% 16% 2% - - -
95 VO Jonathan 48% 43% 8% 1% - -
96 COFFIN Carleton 36% 47% 15% 2% - - -
97 HARRIS Noah 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
97 HOWARD Fox 53% 38% 9% 1% - - -
99 BERETICH Brian 95% 5% - - - - -
100 ANDERSON Maxwell 88% 11% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.