National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, July 8, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHENG Andy - - - - 2% 25% 73%
2 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - - - 3% 25% 72%
3 BORISENKO Samuel - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
3 XIA Dashan - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
5 MIDYANY Evan - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
6 NAKAS Levent - - - - 4% 27% 69%
7 CORBIN Bennett - - - 2% 19% 61% 18%
8 HUANG Kenneth - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 14%
9 TAI Edison - - - 5% 21% 42% 32%
10 ELHUSSEINI Dylan - - - - 2% 20% 78%
11 LIU Adam - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
12 TSE Maxwell - - - 2% 11% 37% 49%
13 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
14 NORMILE Nicholas - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
15 HERNDON Liam - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
16 CHEN Jayden - 5% 18% 32% 30% 14% 2%
17 LU Jacob - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
18 PARK Sangwook - - - 3% 16% 40% 39%
19 WANG Joey - - - 4% 25% 45% 25%
20 WONG Baron - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
21 LOISEAU Oscar - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
22 BOUDREAUX James - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
23 DODDAPANENI Aarav - 2% 13% 36% 38% 11%
24 ELHUSSEINI Kyle - - - 2% 16% 48% 34%
25 LEE Damien - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
26 PARKER Isaiah - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 25%
27 FENG Shang - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
28 MAZAHERI Fletcher 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
29 DODIN Daniel M. - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17%
30 LIU Josh - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
31 WU Nathan - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
32 DOAN Christopher 4% 20% 34% 29% 11% 2%
33 MEHROTRA Neel - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
34 ARMSTRONG TyLee - 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 3%
35 KIM Henry 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% < 1%
36 CHA Patrick 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
37 MAXU Tiger - - 2% 11% 33% 40% 14%
38 FEI Victor - - 1% 9% 33% 41% 16%
39 ROBINSON Samuel - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
41 KIM Alexander - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
42 SINGLETON Aman - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
43 LOUIE Joseph 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 2%
44 LIOZNYANSKY Miron - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
45 MULCAHY Sebastian - - - 6% 31% 52% 11%
46 ZHAI Junqi - 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 9%
47 AYOTTE James - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
48 CHAN JR Jason - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
49 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 3%
50 AHN EZRA - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
51 LI Tristan - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
52 HELMY Richard - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
53 YANG Gary - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
54 HUANG Yidong Allen - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
55 TRAN Spencer - - 1% 9% 34% 41% 15%
56 CHO Sean 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
57 FU Adrian 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
58 GOWDA Suyog 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
59 MANA Arnav - 1% 11% 34% 41% 12%
60 CAFASSO Alexander 4% 20% 36% 29% 11% 1%
61 LEE DoWon - 3% 15% 34% 35% 14%
62 HSU Joshua 1% 9% 29% 37% 21% 4%
63 SUN Ethan 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
64 LIDSKY Phineas - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
65 MANDZY Theodor - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
66 QIAO James 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
67 HEADRICK Jack - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
68 GUO Woody - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
69 KIM Julian 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
70 LEE Royce 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
71 SHAFFER Tyler 1% 10% 31% 39% 17% 2%
72 RAHMAN Ali - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
73 MOORE Alexander 1% 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
74 WU Johnny y. - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
75 LEUNG Dylan 1% 5% 19% 33% 30% 11% 1%
76 KIM Remington 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
77 NAM Nathaniel 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
78 NOOL Alexander 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 2% -
79 LUO Alexander - 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 3%
80 GACIOCH Noah 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
81 TESFAYE Elias 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
82 DELONG Joshua 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
83 YAO Tristan 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5% -
83 ZHU Owen 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
85 PURUSHOTHAM Neil 1% 8% 27% 38% 20% 4% -
86 MORIN-JIANG Jake - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
87 WOO Lucas 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
88 HERDMAN Julian 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
89 CLAES Thomas - 1% 6% 21% 38% 28% 7%
90 YI Nathan - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
90 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
92 QIAN Irvine - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
93 SU Samuel 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
94 RONG Marcus 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
95 AHMED Mohsen 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
96 KROPP Wesley - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
97 SHCHUR Grayson - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%
98 REICHMANN Theo - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
99 SOLARZ Arthur 1% 12% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
99 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian - 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
101 RONG Gordon - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
102 YAKHNIS Seth - 1% 7% 25% 40% 23% 4%
103 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
103 HANNA Alexander 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% - -
105 CHANG Matthew 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% - -
106 DAI Steven (Chengwen) 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
107 LEE Daniel 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% -
108 TUBALTSEV Evan - 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
108 JIANG Harry 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
110 LEWIS Michael 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
111 BUENAVENTURA Camden 3% 16% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
112 YILMAZ Tarik - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
113 LEE Harrison 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
114 CHEN Daniel 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1%
115 MARENCIK Miles 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
116 DING Max 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
116 INGHILTERRA Luca 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
118 RAHMAN Zayd 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
119 WANG-SONG Evan 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8% -
120 JAO Aaron 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
121 FU Nolan - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
122 VICK Ethan 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
123 SATHYAN Dev 8% 29% 38% 21% 4% - -
124 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
125 FENG Xinmin 40% 42% 15% 2% - -
126 KUANG Bryan 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
127 MIDYANY Ryan 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
128 SOLOMON Aryeh 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% - -
129 XUE Michael - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
130 AUSTIN Atlas - 1% 10% 33% 42% 13% 1%
131 MA Ryan 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
132 YU David 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
133 BAUMAN Colin 11% 34% 37% 16% 2% - -
134 NGUYEN Ethan 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
135 ENG Kyler - 6% 24% 37% 26% 7%
136 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% -
137 JAMES Kaden 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
138 LI Ryan 13% 34% 33% 16% 3% - -
139 BUROV Artem - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 24%
140 WONG Vansen 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
141 DANILOV Artur 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
142 LU Ian 5% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
143 SRIKANTH Hariharan 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
144 OBERDERFER Viktor 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
145 LI Timothy 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
146 YAO Ryan 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
147 MOSLEY Wally 2% 13% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
148 ABAD-HERRERO Kieran 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
149 BALUCAN Caelus 5% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2%
150 ROBERTS Arthur 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
151 PERRY Noah 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
152 TUMULA Arihaan 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
153 KONG Ethan 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
154 LIU Austin 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
155 KURUGANTI Vivaan 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
156 PATEL Krish 2% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
156 SONG Sawyer 32% 42% 20% 5% - - -
158 WU Matthew 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
159 SONG Aidan 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
159 MA Ciel 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% -
161 LIU Max 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
162 LIM-SEIWERT Armand 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
163 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
164 BHANDARE Veer 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
165 WATTANAKIT Tawin 13% 37% 33% 14% 3% - -
166 RUSSELL Michael 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
167 FALKIEWICZ Alec R. 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
168 D'SA Thomas 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
168 YUE Bryan 6% 28% 40% 22% 4% - -
168 SCHWITZER Eliot 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
171 YOON Jonathan 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
172 SHIM Jae 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
172 ABAD Mateo 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
172 GREENMAN Duke 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
175 LIU Xuyao 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
176 CHEN Aiden 5% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
177 VEERAVALLI Pranav 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
178 FRENCH Drake 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
178 PLUMMER Kellan 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
178 MBERIA Alexander 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
181 PISCITELLO Aleksandr 57% 35% 8% 1% - - -
182 LEITNER Brek 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
183 NOOL Aaron 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
183 GOODHEART Mateo 16% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
185 CARCELLER Jeremias 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
185 WANG Lucas 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
187 WANG Devin < 1% 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
188 GIORDANO Zach 6% 29% 40% 21% 4% -
189 DU Evan 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
190 LEE Joshua 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
191 YU Andrew 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
191 WU Jiachen 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
193 LAM Jayden 35% 43% 18% 3% - -
193 MYRAH Devin 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
195 WONG Aaron 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
196 JONES Colby 53% 36% 9% 1% - -
197 GADHVI Darius 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
198 WHITE Jackson 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
199 CHEN Tianjun 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
199 KIM Evan 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
199 WOOLCOCK Cash 30% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
202 FERRIERE Theo 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
203 KATS Brandon 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
204 MEHROTRA Darsh 30% 44% 22% 4% - - -
205 AMIRAULT Jacob 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.