National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, July 8, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
2 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
3 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
5 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
6 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
7 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 18%
8 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
9 TAI Edison 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
10 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
11 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
12 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
13 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
14 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
15 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
16 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
17 LU Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
18 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
19 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
20 WONG Baron 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14%
21 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
22 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
23 DODDAPANENI Aarav 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
24 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 34%
25 LEE Damien 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
26 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
27 FENG Shang 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
28 MAZAHERI Fletcher 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
29 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
30 LIU Josh 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
31 WU Nathan 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%
32 DOAN Christopher 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
33 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
34 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
35 KIM Henry 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% < 1%
36 CHA Patrick 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
37 MAXU Tiger 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
38 FEI Victor 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
39 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
41 KIM Alexander 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
42 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
43 LOUIE Joseph 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
44 LIOZNYANSKY Miron 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
45 MULCAHY Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 11%
46 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9%
47 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
48 CHAN JR Jason 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
49 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
50 AHN EZRA 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
51 LI Tristan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
52 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
53 YANG Gary 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
54 HUANG Yidong Allen 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
55 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
56 CHO Sean 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 1% -
57 FU Adrian 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
58 GOWDA Suyog 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 13% 2%
59 MANA Arnav 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 12%
60 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
61 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
62 HSU Joshua 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
63 SUN Ethan 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1%
64 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
65 MANDZY Theodor 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 49%
66 QIAO James 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
67 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 17%
68 GUO Woody 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
69 KIM Julian 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
70 LEE Royce 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
71 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
72 RAHMAN Ali 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
73 MOORE Alexander 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
74 WU Johnny y. 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 2%
75 LEUNG Dylan 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 12% 1%
76 KIM Remington 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3% -
77 NAM Nathaniel 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
78 NOOL Alexander 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2% -
79 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 26% 3%
80 GACIOCH Noah 100% 99% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
81 TESFAYE Elias 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
82 DELONG Joshua 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
83 YAO Tristan 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
83 ZHU Owen 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
85 PURUSHOTHAM Neil 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 5% -
86 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
87 WOO Lucas 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
88 HERDMAN Julian 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
89 CLAES Thomas 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 7%
90 YI Nathan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
90 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
92 QIAN Irvine 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
93 SU Samuel 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
94 RONG Marcus 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
95 AHMED Mohsen 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
96 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
97 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
98 REICHMANN Theo 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
99 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
99 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
101 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
102 YAKHNIS Seth 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 4%
103 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
103 HANNA Alexander 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
105 CHANG Matthew 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% - -
106 DAI Steven (Chengwen) 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
107 LEE Daniel 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% -
108 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
108 JIANG Harry 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
110 LEWIS Michael 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
111 BUENAVENTURA Camden 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
112 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
113 LEE Harrison 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1%
114 CHEN Daniel 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1%
115 MARENCIK Miles 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% 1%
116 DING Max 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% 1%
116 INGHILTERRA Luca 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
118 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
119 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% -
120 JAO Aaron 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
121 FU Nolan 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
122 VICK Ethan 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
123 SATHYAN Dev 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% - -
124 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
125 FENG Xinmin 100% 60% 18% 2% - -
126 KUANG Bryan 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
127 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
128 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
129 XUE Michael 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
130 AUSTIN Atlas 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 14% 1%
131 MA Ryan 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
132 YU David 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
133 BAUMAN Colin 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% - -
134 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
135 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7%
136 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
137 JAMES Kaden 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
138 LI Ryan 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
139 BUROV Artem 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
140 WONG Vansen 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
141 DANILOV Artur 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
142 LU Ian 100% 95% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
143 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
144 OBERDERFER Viktor 100% 91% 63% 29% 7% 1% -
145 LI Timothy 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
146 YAO Ryan 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
147 MOSLEY Wally 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
148 ABAD-HERRERO Kieran 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
149 BALUCAN Caelus 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
150 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2% -
151 PERRY Noah 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
152 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
153 KONG Ethan 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
154 LIU Austin 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
155 KURUGANTI Vivaan 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
156 PATEL Krish 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
156 SONG Sawyer 100% 68% 25% 5% 1% - -
158 WU Matthew 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
159 SONG Aidan 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
159 MA Ciel 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
161 LIU Max 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
162 LIM-SEIWERT Armand 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
163 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
164 BHANDARE Veer 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
165 WATTANAKIT Tawin 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
166 RUSSELL Michael 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 11% 1%
167 FALKIEWICZ Alec R. 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
168 D'SA Thomas 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
168 YUE Bryan 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% - -
168 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
171 YOON Jonathan 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% - -
172 SHIM Jae 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
172 ABAD Mateo 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
172 GREENMAN Duke 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
175 LIU Xuyao 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
176 CHEN Aiden 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
177 VEERAVALLI Pranav 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
178 FRENCH Drake 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% - -
178 PLUMMER Kellan 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
178 MBERIA Alexander 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
181 PISCITELLO Aleksandr 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
182 LEITNER Brek 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
183 NOOL Aaron 100% 82% 45% 14% 3% - -
183 GOODHEART Mateo 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% - -
185 CARCELLER Jeremias 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
185 WANG Lucas 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
187 WANG Devin 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 15% 2%
188 GIORDANO Zach 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
189 DU Evan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
190 LEE Joshua 100% 87% 52% 16% 2% - -
191 YU Andrew 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
191 WU Jiachen 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
193 LAM Jayden 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
193 MYRAH Devin 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
195 WONG Aaron 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
196 JONES Colby 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
197 GADHVI Darius 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
198 WHITE Jackson 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
199 CHEN Tianjun 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
199 KIM Evan 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
199 WOOLCOCK Cash 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
202 FERRIERE Theo 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
203 KATS Brandon 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
204 MEHROTRA Darsh 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
205 AMIRAULT Jacob 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.