Nutmeg State Games

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, July 16, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIOU Solomon 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
2 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
3 BELLIVEAU Raven 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
3 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
5 PERSAUD Daivik 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
6 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
7 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
8 CHOI Paul 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
9 BEDOR William 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
10 PHO Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
11 JENNINGS Adin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18% 2%
12 STEVENS James 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
13 ZHANG William 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
14 SHEN Max 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
15 SPANO Gideon 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
16 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 6%
17 BELLIVEAU Shane 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 11% 1%
18 ZELIN Sam 100% 98% 77% 36% 9% 1%
19 HOWARD Jackson 100% 69% 23% 4% < 1% -
20 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
21 BELLIVEAU Emmett Sparrow 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% 1%
22 WARD Carrington 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% -
23 SENERTH Ian 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
24 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
25 RUSSELL Edward 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
26 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
27 MARICI Ryan 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 5% -
28 PALLADINO Ben 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
29 COSTA Joao 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
30 ROLLO Emmet 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
31 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 37% 6% - - -
32 MEAGHER Roderick 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 18% 2%
33 PAN Anthony 100% 89% 34% 6% - - -
34 LIN Yufei 100% 76% 31% 6% - -
35 SMOTROFF Joshua 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 3%
36 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 91% 55% 16% 2% - -
37 OSISEK Eric 100% 98% 78% 32% 6% - -
38 GIORDANO Nathan 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
39 XIAN Andy 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% -
40 ROUSE Joseph 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
41 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
42 SEILS Aether 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
43 WARD Kofi 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
44 COLON Atum 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
45 KOKENGE Chad 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
45 PETE Landon 100% 44% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.