AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Cadet Men's Épée

Friday, October 6, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIEN Jabin - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
2 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - - - 3% 25% 72%
3 LIU Yikun - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
3 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - 1% 10% 35% 41% 14%
5 KIM Sullivan - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
6 CHOI Zachary - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
7 OBERDERFER Vladimir - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
8 LI Ethan R. - 2% 16% 41% 34% 8%
9 DAO Alexander - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
10 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
11 KIM Ian - - 6% 27% 43% 24%
12 LIU Andrew - - 3% 19% 43% 34%
13 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
14 PAK Elliot - - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
15 HUANG Kenneth 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2%
16 PRAKASH Hari - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
17 CHOI Kaiden I. - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
18 DOWDELL Riley - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
19 DODDAPANENI Aarav 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
20 PARK Sangwook - 4% 21% 40% 29% 6%
21 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
22 CLAES Lucas - 4% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
23 CASTELLY Luke - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
24 LU Jacob - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
25 RICHARD silas - 2% 13% 35% 38% 13%
26 TANG William - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
27 SINHA Zaan - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
28 YU Austin - - 1% 5% 22% 44% 28%
29 LEVENTAL Mark - 2% 20% 41% 29% 7%
30 NOFZIGER Bennett 3% 21% 39% 29% 8% 1%
31 SIM Ian 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
32 CHANG Andrew 1% 12% 43% 34% 10% 1%
33 KNUDSEN Travis - - 5% 23% 44% 26%
34 LAURIMAA Emil - 5% 30% 41% 20% 3%
35 MILEY Walker - 6% 26% 39% 24% 6% -
35 JAIN Samyak - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
37 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 2% 28% 42% 23% 5% - -
38 LIU Yueri - 1% 5% 21% 39% 29% 4%
39 SHEN Jiayi 2% 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
40 KUANG Bryan 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
41 LI zerong 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
42 GOROZA Eric 8% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
43 WANG Joey - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
44 MANA Arnav - 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
45 FAN Joshua - 6% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
46 HSU Joshua 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
47 NAEMI Barsam 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
48 DENG haoyu 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
49 HIGGINS Calvin 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
50 MIAO KUNQI - 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
51 WONG Preston 24% 47% 24% 5% - -
52 ZHAO Colin 12% 55% 28% 5% - -
53 MORIN-JIANG Jake - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
54 ROBINSON Samuel 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
55 MEHROTRA Neel 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
56 RAHMAN Zayd 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
56 YOUNG Quentin 3% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
58 LI Yunji (Rain) - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 4%
59 WACHS Bryce 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
60 JU Hanul - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
61 WU Johnny y. 13% 41% 34% 11% 1% -
62 ANDERSON Kai 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
62 YAN Eric 35% 43% 19% 4% - -
64 ZGAMA Oleksii 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
65 MA Ryan 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
66 WONG Baron 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
67 CHENG Trevor 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1%
68 JOHAR Manvik 13% 59% 24% 4% - -
69 TONG Samuel - 7% 27% 40% 22% 4%
70 PERALTA Christian 1% 11% 32% 37% 16% 2%
71 RUFANOV Maxim 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
72 GUO Woody - 7% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
73 APEL Gustaf 2% 17% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
74 LAU Alex 3% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
75 DONG Haiyi - 2% 13% 32% 36% 15% 2%
76 RAHMAN Yousef 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
77 WANG aaron 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
78 LI Timothy 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
79 GADHVI Darius 49% 38% 11% 1% - -
80 CHAUDHURI Kabir 12% 39% 35% 13% 2% - -
81 NGUYEN Peyton 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
82 BAUMAN Colin 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
83 CHANG Kristopher 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
83 KIM Tristan 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
85 LEE Royce 6% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
85 COLLINS Kaden 72% 26% 2% - - -
87 KIM Remington 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
88 ORMOND Andrew 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
89 LIN Jason 34% 45% 17% 3% - -
90 KOFMAN David 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
91 LI Sean 75% 24% 1% - - -
92 ECKMAN Bjorn 82% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.