AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Cadet Men's Épée

Friday, October 6, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIEN Jabin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
2 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
3 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 14%
5 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
6 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
7 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
8 LI Ethan R. 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 8%
9 DAO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
10 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
11 KIM Ian 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 24%
12 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
13 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
14 PAK Elliot 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
15 HUANG Kenneth 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
16 PRAKASH Hari 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
17 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
18 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
19 DODDAPANENI Aarav 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
20 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
21 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
22 CLAES Lucas 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
23 CASTELLY Luke 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
24 LU Jacob 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
25 RICHARD silas 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
26 TANG William 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
27 SINHA Zaan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
28 YU Austin 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 28%
29 LEVENTAL Mark 100% 100% 98% 77% 36% 7%
30 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% 1%
31 SIM Ian 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
32 CHANG Andrew 100% 99% 88% 45% 11% 1%
33 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
34 LAURIMAA Emil 100% 100% 95% 65% 24% 3%
35 MILEY Walker 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
35 JAIN Samyak 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
37 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 100% 98% 70% 28% 6% - -
38 LIU Yueri 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 4%
39 SHEN Jiayi 100% 98% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
40 KUANG Bryan 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
41 LI zerong 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
42 GOROZA Eric 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
43 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 12%
44 MANA Arnav 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
45 FAN Joshua 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
46 HSU Joshua 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
47 NAEMI Barsam 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
48 DENG haoyu 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
49 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
50 MIAO KUNQI 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 17%
51 WONG Preston 100% 76% 29% 5% - -
52 ZHAO Colin 100% 88% 33% 5% - -
53 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
54 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
55 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 1%
56 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
56 YOUNG Quentin 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
58 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
59 WACHS Bryce 100% 40% 8% 1% - - -
60 JU Hanul 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
61 WU Johnny y. 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% -
62 ANDERSON Kai 100% 98% 81% 45% 12% 1%
62 YAN Eric 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
64 ZGAMA Oleksii 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
65 MA Ryan 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
66 WONG Baron 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
67 CHENG Trevor 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1%
68 JOHAR Manvik 100% 87% 28% 4% - -
69 TONG Samuel 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4%
70 PERALTA Christian 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
71 RUFANOV Maxim 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
72 GUO Woody 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
73 APEL Gustaf 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
74 LAU Alex 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
75 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
76 RAHMAN Yousef 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
77 WANG aaron 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 6% -
78 LI Timothy 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
79 GADHVI Darius 100% 51% 13% 1% - -
80 CHAUDHURI Kabir 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% - -
81 NGUYEN Peyton 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
82 BAUMAN Colin 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
83 CHANG Kristopher 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
83 KIM Tristan 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
85 LEE Royce 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
85 COLLINS Kaden 100% 28% 2% - - -
87 KIM Remington 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
88 ORMOND Andrew 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 3% -
89 LIN Jason 100% 66% 20% 3% - -
90 KOFMAN David 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
91 LI Sean 100% 25% 1% - - -
92 ECKMAN Bjorn 100% 18% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.