The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

October NAC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, October 28, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Orange County Convention Center - Orlando, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
2 VELINOV Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
3 MITEV Alexander 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
3 CUCOS Alex 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
5 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 99% 84% 51% 20% 4% -
6 UPSHAW Micah 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
7 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
8 MIZRAHI Michael 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
9 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
10 WONG Baron 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
11 CHUNG Yeongbin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
12 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
13 DALCOURT-GUILLOTTE Léonard 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 2%
14 DHAL Leon 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
15 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
16 CHUNG Andrew 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
17 LIN Kason 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
18 JONES Reilly 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
19 CUI Jack 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
20 CHAI Ethan 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
21 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
22 OSBORN Hunter 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
23 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
24 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
25 YANG haoxuan 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
26 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
27 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
28 WANG Kevin de-tai 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 10%
29 CHOI San 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
30 PATEL Kushal 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
31 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
32 DECKER Hunter 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
33 MCADOO Declan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
34 MUSGRAVE Walter N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
35 WALLACE James 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
36 ZIEGLER John 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
37 ZEBROSE Cordell B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
38 WU Colin 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
39 FAN Jackson 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
40 TSE Maxwell 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
41 WONG King-Yee 100% 99% 91% 67% 35% 10% 1%
42 CHIEN Zachary M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
43 TATE William Isom 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 3%
44 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
45 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
46 ACHURRA GAVIRIA Johan Alessandro 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
47 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 97% 80% 50% 20% 4% -
48 CHUNG Joshua 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 14%
49 LESCURE Dimitri 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
50 FULLERTON Joshua D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
51 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
52 BARTELS Marc 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
53 PETROW Zoryan 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
54 WEBB Jacob T. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
55 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
56 KIM Alexander 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
57 BEALS Alden 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
58 DAO Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
59 GOLDSON Tyrese 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
60 ALABI Tobi 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 4%
61 FRANGER Max 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
62 LEE Inwoo 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% -
63 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 14% 2%
64 RUSSELL James 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
65 AWAN Saqlain A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
66 KUCEBA Vitalijs 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
67 SONG Troy 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
68 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
69 YANAMANDRA Sidhansh 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
70 SIM Ian 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
71 MEGGERS Davin 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
72 DAVIS Jonah 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
73 SURESH NEERAJ 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9%
74 SETO Jing 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 12% 1%
75 LEE Aiden 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
76 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
77 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
78 ZHAO Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 34% 8%
79 ALLEY Everett T 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
80 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
81 LEE DoWon 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
81 WANG Aiden 100% 90% 55% 20% 4% - -
83 HU Lucas 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 3%
84 ROCAN Felix 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
85 LEE Benjamin 100% 65% 23% 4% < 1% - -
86 EDGECOMB Michael J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
87 KIM Teo 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
88 WAGMAN Robert S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
89 VODOVOZOV Denis 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
90 LIU Yueri 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
90 TIEMANN Landen 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
92 PETERSEN Ephraim 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
93 RAY William 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
94 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
95 SLOUGH Sean 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
96 SHEN Jiayi 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% -
97 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 8%
98 THOMPSON Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
99 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
100 LEE Aiden 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
101 ZHANG Roland 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
102 DINKINS Adam 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
103 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
104 PAL Ian K. 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
105 CARNALL Hunter 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
106 ALLEN Caleb 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
107 HULL Liam 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
108 DAN Rex 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 3%
109 YU Samuel 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
110 HERNANDEZ Cole F. 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
111 CHEN Bowen 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
112 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
113 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%
113 MEN Junda 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
115 SINHA Zaan 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
116 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
117 CHENG Trevor 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
118 PAI Dong-Ying 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
119 RIM Eugene 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
120 LI Tristan 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
121 KIM Jeff 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
122 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% -
123 BISSEN Quinn 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
124 FREEMAN Zachary 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
125 GOMEZ NG Juan Jose 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
126 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
127 CROUCH William John (John) 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
128 MASSE Jack 100% 81% 37% 9% 1% -
129 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3%
130 PAN Anthony 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
131 RIBAS Fernando 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
132 ZHAO Zidong 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
133 HEADRICK Jack 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
134 GINZBURG Adam 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
135 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
136 LIU Adam 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 14% 2%
137 ELTERMAN Lev 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
138 ACKLAND Matthew 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
139 PRICE Jordan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
140 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
141 MODANLOU Navid 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 16% 2%
142 HOWARD Paolo 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
143 MARTINEZ Kenneth 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
144 PATEL Jayen 100% 66% 25% 6% 1% - -
145 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
146 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 93% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
146 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
148 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
149 NALLAMSHETTY Ayan 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
150 SANCHEZ-BUSTOS Anasazi 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% 1%
151 GREGORY Dean 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
152 PEREZ Daniel 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
153 NICKERSON Oliver 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
154 ST. GEORGE David J. 100% 91% 58% 23% 5% - -
154 MARTINEZ Gabriel 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
156 XIE Steven 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 3% -
157 SLOTER Lewis E. 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
158 REED David 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
159 ZAMORA Oscar 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% - -
160 GREENE Patrick 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
161 SANTOS Felipe 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
162 RASSEL John 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
163 ROCKWELL Nolan 100% 76% 31% 6% - -
164 CHHU Allen 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% -
165 HERIBA Omar 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
166 REPIC Oliver 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
167 PENG Yue 100% 94% 68% 31% 9% 1% -
168 GUO Lucas 100% 84% 48% 18% 4% - -
169 POWELL Troy 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
170 CHENG Zijun 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 3% -
171 KIM Remington 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
172 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
172 LIN Yufei 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
172 KIM Joshua 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
175 SCHWARY Irv 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 4% -
176 JANES Cole T. 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
176 DAVIS Kelly 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
178 CHEN Luowen 100% 83% 41% 11% 1% - -
179 JUNG WonJoon 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
180 ALVIOR Jonathan Adrian 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
181 EMERSON Zachary 100% 49% 12% 2% - -
182 TIMEK Jan 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
182 ALAM Rajan 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
184 KE Sebastian 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
185 RODDENBERRY Steven 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
185 PEREVORUKHOV Ivan 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
185 LEE Wyatt 100% 31% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.