Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 13, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAO Benjamin - - - - 1% 15% 84%
2 XIA Dashan - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
3 BUI Henry - - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
3 LIU Adam - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
5 GINZBURG Adam - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
6 ZIEGLER John - - - 2% 12% 38% 47%
7 YI Nathan - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
8 HUANG Kenneth - - 1% 10% 37% 40% 12%
9 HU Lucas - - 1% 8% 31% 43% 16%
10 MITEV Alexander - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
11 SOKOL Luke - - 1% 9% 36% 41% 13%
12 NORMILE Nicholas - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
13 LAM Alan - - - - 3% 23% 74%
14 LIDSKY Phineas - 6% 25% 38% 25% 5%
15 PENG Yue - 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 4%
16 KIM Joshua 1% 7% 25% 39% 23% 5%
17 AHMED Mohsen - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
18 BORISENKO Samuel - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
19 TRULL A.J. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
20 LI Tristan - 4% 21% 42% 28% 5%
20 SUN Lucas - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
22 MIDYANY Evan - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
23 DOUBOV Andrew - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
24 DONG Haiyi - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
25 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar - 1% 7% 22% 37% 27% 6%
26 BOUDREAUX James - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
27 NILSEN Mark - 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 1%
28 SUN Ethan - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
29 DUKO Phillip - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
30 BRADSHAW Carter - 1% 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
31 SZCZAPA Lukas 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
32 KIM Henry - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
33 SHAFFER Tyler 1% 11% 34% 37% 16% 2%
34 YANG Gary - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
35 SINGH Ravin - - - 2% 17% 45% 36%
36 LEE DoWon - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
37 KANG Eunchan - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
38 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% 1%
39 MOORE Alexander - 2% 9% 27% 38% 22% 1%
40 HELMY Richard - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
41 WANG Marcus 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
42 SAUNIER Cameron - 1% 5% 23% 43% 29%
43 CHEN Jayden - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
44 CORDOVA Colin 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
45 LOISEAU Oscar - 6% 27% 41% 22% 3%
46 TSE Maxwell - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
47 SINGLETON Aman - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 14%
48 SOLARZ Arthur 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
49 DODIN Daniel M. - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 7%
50 DOAN Christopher - 4% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
51 KE Sebastian - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
52 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
53 LEE Harrison 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
53 MA Nolan 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
55 TU Jinqi - 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
56 KARIMOV Amir - 2% 14% 38% 37% 9%
57 HEADRICK Jack - 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
58 SAVORETTI Pietro - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
59 MEHROTRA Neel - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
60 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
61 TESFAYE Elias 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 1%
62 SHCHUR Grayson - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 4%
63 LEE Aiden - 1% 5% 21% 40% 30% 4%
64 ROBERTS Arthur 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
65 YU Jason - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
66 RAPALSKI Thomas - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 10%
67 VYSOTSKIY Evan - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
68 DELONG Joshua 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
69 BAJAJ Nakul - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
70 HERNDON Liam - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
71 NAEMI Barsam - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
72 ZHAI Junqi - 3% 14% 30% 34% 17% 3%
73 LEE Anton 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
74 KROPP Wesley - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
74 BENNETT Pierce 1% 11% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
76 ARMSTRONG TyLee - - 3% 18% 40% 31% 8%
77 LEECH Braedan - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
78 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 1% 10% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
79 SUN Marco 9% 27% 33% 21% 8% 1% -
80 ZHANG Lucas - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
81 KONG Brandon 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
82 JEONG Arisu 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
83 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan - 2% 13% 36% 38% 12%
84 CHO Alex - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
85 CHEN Edward 33% 49% 16% 2% - -
86 LEE Henry 4% 31% 41% 20% 4% -
87 BO Genero 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
87 JIANG Aaron - 8% 27% 37% 23% 5% -
89 SZIEDE Kieran - 5% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
90 CHA Patrick - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
91 VAN JAARSVELD Leo - 4% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
92 LI Jade - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
93 MILINKOVIC Maksim 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
94 KIM Julian 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
95 YAO Tristan - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
96 CHAWLA Aarav 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
97 GLUSHKOV David 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
98 CHEN Bowen - 1% 8% 22% 35% 27% 8%
99 LEVESQUE Gabriel 12% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
99 ZHU Yiming 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
101 HANNA Alexander 26% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
102 TOWNSHEND Connor 2% 16% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
103 HSU Joshua - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
104 JIANG Matthew - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
105 JIANG Harry 5% 31% 41% 19% 3% -
106 MORI Seneca - 7% 32% 39% 19% 3%
107 LIN Haley 5% 30% 39% 21% 5% -
108 KUANG Bryan - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
109 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
110 ADDYSON Aidan 8% 27% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
111 CHANG Matthew 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
112 LIU Zicheng 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
113 HERDMAN Julian - 1% 12% 36% 35% 13% 2%
113 MIKHAIL Lucas - 1% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
115 ROBERTS Phoenix 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 4% -
116 LUO Alexander - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
117 ROSIELLO Francesco 8% 30% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
118 GIORDANO Zach 2% 17% 40% 33% 8% 1% -
119 WANG Marcus 21% 43% 27% 8% 1% - -
120 LEE Benjamin 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
121 NAM Nathaniel 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
122 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
123 NOLAN Tyler 13% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
124 CHANEY Charles - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
125 SHILOV Maxim - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
125 GAO Victor 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 1%
127 RAMEY Daylon 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
128 YAO Aiden 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
129 WILKERSON Tobias 2% 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
130 GOVOROV Alexander 52% 41% 6% < 1% - - -
131 MIDYANY Ryan - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
132 TSIEN Richard 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
133 TUMULA Arihaan 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
134 YU David 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
135 KIM Zac 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2%
136 VICK Ethan 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
137 SONG Aidan 7% 27% 38% 22% 6% -
138 ZHAO Pierce 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
139 FENG Xinmin 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
140 SHTEYNBLIK Michael 32% 45% 19% 3% - - -
141 WHITE Jackson 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
142 BRESLAV Asher 8% 33% 42% 15% 2% - -
143 ZHANG Shuhao 28% 47% 22% 3% - - -
144 BORAN Brooks 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
145 HANTOV Adrian 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
146 QU RuiTing - 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
147 CHEN Daniel 2% 15% 39% 34% 9% 1% -
147 NOOL Alexander 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4% -
149 NG Nico 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
150 FOGEL Jake 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
151 HEITFIELD Markus 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
152 TRAIL Vaughn - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
153 JONES Gideon 55% 35% 9% 1% - -
154 KENDLER Micah 5% 31% 42% 19% 3% -
155 MCCABE Kian 59% 34% 7% - - -
156 SHIM Jae 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
157 FONG Henry 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
158 CAFASSO Alexander 1% 11% 31% 35% 17% 4% -
159 OCONNOR Paul 2% 31% 42% 20% 4% - -
160 MILLER Balthazar 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
161 KONG Ethan 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
162 TSEN Mason 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
163 PLUMMER Kellan 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
164 HEADRICK Liam 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
164 GATEWOOD Michael 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
164 SUNKARA Vishnu 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
167 WITHERELL Logan 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
168 CHAN Ian 64% 31% 5% - - - -
169 STRAFFORD Andrew 26% 47% 24% 3% - - -
170 ZHAN ETHAN 14% 44% 33% 8% 1% - -
171 HAM Ian 45% 41% 13% 1% - - -
172 YAO Ryan 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
172 SMITH Theo 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
174 MAZEL Antonin 22% 43% 27% 8% 1% - -
175 GHAJAR Danial 76% 22% 2% - - - -
176 SOLOMON Aryeh 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
177 SCHIFFHAUER Bram 38% 47% 13% 1% - -
178 DEFFENBAUGH Vasily 6% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
179 ARMSTRONG Payson 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
180 DURAN Sevan Sebastian 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
181 BIERL Asa 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
182 GONIMA Francisco 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
183 WU Jiachen 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
184 MITCHELL Simon 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1% -
185 WELCH Sebastian 75% 23% 2% - - -
186 GRANT Aidan 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
186 HONG Ethen 13% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
188 PATEL Tej 2% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
189 WERNER Henry 27% 54% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.