Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 13, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
2 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
3 BUI Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43%
3 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
5 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
6 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
7 YI Nathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
8 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 12%
9 HU Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 16%
10 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
11 SOKOL Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 13%
12 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
13 LAM Alan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
14 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 5%
15 PENG Yue 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
16 KIM Joshua 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
17 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 40% 10%
18 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
19 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
20 LI Tristan 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
20 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
22 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
23 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
24 DONG Haiyi 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
25 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
26 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
27 NILSEN Mark 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15% 1%
28 SUN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
29 DUKO Phillip 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
30 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
31 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
32 KIM Henry 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
33 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2%
34 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
35 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
36 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
37 KANG Eunchan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
38 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 98% 86% 56% 24% 5% 1%
39 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23% 1%
40 HELMY Richard 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
41 WANG Marcus 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% 1%
42 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
43 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
44 CORDOVA Colin 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
45 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 3%
46 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
47 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
48 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
49 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
50 DOAN Christopher 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
51 KE Sebastian 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
52 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 3%
53 LEE Harrison 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
53 MA Nolan 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
55 TU Jinqi 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
56 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
57 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
58 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
59 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 11%
60 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
61 TESFAYE Elias 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 13% 1%
62 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
63 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 4%
64 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 6% -
65 YU Jason 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
66 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
67 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
68 DELONG Joshua 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
69 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
70 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
71 NAEMI Barsam 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 22%
72 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
73 LEE Anton 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
74 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
74 BENNETT Pierce 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
76 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8%
77 LEECH Braedan 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 1%
78 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 99% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
79 SUN Marco 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
80 ZHANG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 12%
81 KONG Brandon 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
82 JEONG Arisu 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
83 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
84 CHO Alex 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
85 CHEN Edward 100% 67% 18% 2% - -
86 LEE Henry 100% 96% 65% 24% 4% -
87 BO Genero 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2% -
87 JIANG Aaron 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
89 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 12% 1%
90 CHA Patrick 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
91 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 100% 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1%
92 LI Jade 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
93 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
94 KIM Julian 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
95 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 15% 1%
96 CHAWLA Aarav 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
97 GLUSHKOV David 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
98 CHEN Bowen 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
99 LEVESQUE Gabriel 100% 88% 50% 16% 3% - -
99 ZHU Yiming 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
101 HANNA Alexander 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
102 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
103 HSU Joshua 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
104 JIANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
105 JIANG Harry 100% 95% 63% 22% 3% -
106 MORI Seneca 100% 100% 93% 61% 22% 3%
107 LIN Haley 100% 95% 65% 26% 6% -
108 KUANG Bryan 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
109 RADZIKOWSKI Sam 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
110 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
111 CHANG Matthew 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3% -
112 LIU Zicheng 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
113 HERDMAN Julian 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 2%
113 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 2%
115 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
116 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2%
117 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
118 GIORDANO Zach 100% 98% 81% 41% 9% 1% -
119 WANG Marcus 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
120 LEE Benjamin 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
121 NAM Nathaniel 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
122 GRIGORENKO Gleb E. 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
123 NOLAN Tyler 100% 87% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
124 CHANEY Charles 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
125 SHILOV Maxim 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 2%
125 GAO Victor 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 13% 1%
127 RAMEY Daylon 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
128 YAO Aiden 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
129 WILKERSON Tobias 100% 98% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
130 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 48% 7% < 1% - - -
131 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
132 TSIEN Richard 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
133 TUMULA Arihaan 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
134 YU David 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
135 KIM Zac 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
136 VICK Ethan 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
137 SONG Aidan 100% 93% 67% 28% 6% -
138 ZHAO Pierce 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
139 FENG Xinmin 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
140 SHTEYNBLIK Michael 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
141 WHITE Jackson 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
142 BRESLAV Asher 100% 92% 59% 18% 2% - -
143 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 72% 25% 3% - - -
144 BORAN Brooks 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
145 HANTOV Adrian 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
146 QU RuiTing 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
147 CHEN Daniel 100% 98% 83% 44% 10% 1% -
147 NOOL Alexander 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
149 NG Nico 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
150 FOGEL Jake 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
151 HEITFIELD Markus 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
152 TRAIL Vaughn 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
153 JONES Gideon 100% 45% 10% 1% - -
154 KENDLER Micah 100% 95% 64% 22% 3% -
155 MCCABE Kian 100% 41% 7% - - -
156 SHIM Jae 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
157 FONG Henry 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
158 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
159 OCONNOR Paul 100% 98% 67% 24% 4% - -
160 MILLER Balthazar 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
161 KONG Ethan 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
162 TSEN Mason 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
163 PLUMMER Kellan 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
164 HEADRICK Liam 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
164 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
164 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
167 WITHERELL Logan 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
168 CHAN Ian 100% 36% 5% - - - -
169 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 74% 27% 4% - - -
170 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 86% 41% 9% 1% - -
171 HAM Ian 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
172 YAO Ryan 100% 96% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
172 SMITH Theo 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
174 MAZEL Antonin 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
175 GHAJAR Danial 100% 24% 2% - - - -
176 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
177 SCHIFFHAUER Bram 100% 62% 15% 2% - -
178 DEFFENBAUGH Vasily 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1%
179 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
180 DURAN Sevan Sebastian 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
181 BIERL Asa 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
182 GONIMA Francisco 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
183 WU Jiachen 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
184 MITCHELL Simon 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1% -
185 WELCH Sebastian 100% 25% 2% - - -
186 GRANT Aidan 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
186 HONG Ethen 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% - -
188 PATEL Tej 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
189 WERNER Henry 100% 73% 18% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.