Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, January 14, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
2 YAO Ryan - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
3 KROPP Wesley - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
3 PUTHOFF Henry - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
5 DING Max - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
6 MASKIN Mikhail - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
6 YAO Aiden - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
8 DAI Jason - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
9 CHIANG William - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
10 CHAU Ivan - - - - 3% 23% 74%
11 FERREIRA DE MELO Martin - 2% 11% 32% 39% 15% 1%
12 BUTLER Xavier 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
13 WU MiEr - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
14 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
15 ZHAO Kyle Zekai - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
16 PARK Ethan 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
17 ARMSTRONG Payson - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
18 ZHANG jonathan - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
19 SADOWY Wojciech - - - - 2% 20% 78%
20 KIM Aiden - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 11%
21 LIU Austin - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
22 LI Bryan 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
23 SHIM Jaeyoo 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6% -
24 KIM Siwoo 1% 7% 22% 34% 25% 9% 1%
25 WANG Suian (Andy) - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
26 CHEN Daniel - 1% 5% 22% 40% 29% 3%
27 KANG Ihan - 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
28 NOOL Aaron 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
29 MENAY Ignacio 1% 14% 38% 34% 12% 1%
30 ROBERTS Arthur - - 2% 14% 34% 37% 14%
31 MBERIA Henry - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
32 ZHUKOV Egor 2% 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% -
33 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - 1% 6% 26% 42% 24% 2%
34 KUANG Cyrus - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
35 MAZAHERI Theodore 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
36 HOLDEN Harrison 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
37 CHEN Evan - 2% 12% 31% 36% 16% 1%
38 CHA Aiden - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
38 BURT Jonathan Parker 11% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
40 CAMP William - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
41 MA yuwei 2% 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
42 SHAO Mason 1% 16% 35% 31% 13% 3% -
43 ZHOU Luke - 2% 14% 37% 36% 11%
44 CHEN Zachary 1% 10% 36% 40% 12% 1%
45 ZHOU Silvan 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1%
46 LAI Jayden - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
47 ZINCHUK Yuri 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
48 DE LOS REYES Noah 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
49 CHEN Regis 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
50 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) - 4% 20% 40% 30% 6% -
51 ZHAO Brandon 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
52 CARMONA Alonso - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
53 FAYEZ Adam - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
54 MAZAHERI John 2% 15% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
55 KICIMAN Louis 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
56 IMBERG Matthew - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
57 GOH Cayden 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
58 THOMSON Piers - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
59 ORNDORF IV Thomas P. 30% 45% 21% 4% - -
60 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
60 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
62 MA Joseph - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
63 FEELY Samuel 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
64 ALI Akash 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
65 CHEN Tyler 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
66 ZHAO Ryan - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8% -
67 ZHENG Jasper 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
68 ROBINSON Ronald (Tre) 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
69 ADDYSON Evan 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
70 FERNANDEZ Chenxing - 1% 8% 30% 45% 16%
71 NG Remy - 1% 7% 29% 42% 21%
72 KIM Kaiden 34% 44% 18% 3% - -
73 XIONG Alec - - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
74 ZHU David 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
75 CHEN Benjamin 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
76 WHITE Leonardo 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
77 AHMAD Aydin 30% 48% 18% 3% - -
78 PATEL Yash - 3% 15% 30% 32% 17% 4%
79 ZHANG William 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
80 KUYKENDALL Logan 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
81 SCOGGIN Charles 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
82 WILSON Logan 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
83 YAO Irvine 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
84 WANG Jonny 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
85 DANA Miles 38% 41% 17% 4% - - -
86 GAN Samuel 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
87 IBANEZ-CRUZ Adonis 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
88 KABEALO Charles 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
89 REN Jonathan < 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
89 PATEL Krish 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
91 EVERETT Ben < 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
92 SMITH-HELFRICH Oliver 1% 11% 42% 36% 10% 1% -
93 BERKOVITS Damon 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
94 SAFAI Bardia 17% 41% 30% 10% 2% - -
94 KUYKENDALL Lucas 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
96 MORET Declan 74% 23% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.