Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Épée

Sunday, January 14, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
2 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
3 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
3 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
5 DING Max 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
6 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
6 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
8 DAI Jason 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
9 CHIANG William 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
10 CHAU Ivan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
11 FERREIRA DE MELO Martin 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 16% 1%
12 BUTLER Xavier 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
13 WU MiEr 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
14 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
15 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
16 PARK Ethan 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
17 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
18 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
19 SADOWY Wojciech 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
20 KIM Aiden 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
21 LIU Austin 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
22 LI Bryan 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
23 SHIM Jaeyoo 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6% -
24 KIM Siwoo 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
25 WANG Suian (Andy) 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
26 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32% 3%
27 KANG Ihan 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
28 NOOL Aaron 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
29 MENAY Ignacio 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1%
30 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
31 MBERIA Henry 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
32 ZHUKOV Egor 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
33 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 2%
34 KUANG Cyrus 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
35 MAZAHERI Theodore 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
36 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
37 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17% 1%
38 CHA Aiden 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
38 BURT Jonathan Parker 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% - -
40 CAMP William 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
41 MA yuwei 100% 98% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
42 SHAO Mason 100% 99% 83% 47% 16% 3% -
43 ZHOU Luke 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
44 CHEN Zachary 100% 99% 89% 53% 14% 1%
45 ZHOU Silvan 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1%
46 LAI Jayden 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
47 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 10% 1%
48 DE LOS REYES Noah 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
49 CHEN Regis 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
50 GAO Guanyi (Jonathan) 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7% -
51 ZHAO Brandon 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
52 CARMONA Alonso 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
53 FAYEZ Adam 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
54 MAZAHERI John 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
55 KICIMAN Louis 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
56 IMBERG Matthew 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
57 GOH Cayden 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
58 THOMSON Piers 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 15% 2%
59 ORNDORF IV Thomas P. 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
60 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
60 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
62 MA Joseph 100% 100% 98% 86% 60% 26% 5%
63 FEELY Samuel 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
64 ALI Akash 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
65 CHEN Tyler 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
66 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9% -
67 ZHENG Jasper 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
68 ROBINSON Ronald (Tre) 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
69 ADDYSON Evan 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
70 FERNANDEZ Chenxing 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 16%
71 NG Remy 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 21%
72 KIM Kaiden 100% 66% 22% 4% - -
73 XIONG Alec 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
74 ZHU David 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
75 CHEN Benjamin 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
76 WHITE Leonardo 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3% -
77 AHMAD Aydin 100% 70% 21% 3% - -
78 PATEL Yash 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 4%
79 ZHANG William 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 4% -
80 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
81 SCOGGIN Charles 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
82 WILSON Logan 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
83 YAO Irvine 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
84 WANG Jonny 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
85 DANA Miles 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
86 GAN Samuel 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
87 IBANEZ-CRUZ Adonis 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% -
88 KABEALO Charles 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
89 REN Jonathan 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
89 PATEL Krish 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
91 EVERETT Ben 100% 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
92 SMITH-HELFRICH Oliver 100% 99% 88% 47% 11% 1% -
93 BERKOVITS Damon 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% 1% -
94 SAFAI Bardia 100% 83% 42% 12% 2% - -
94 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
96 MORET Declan 100% 26% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.