March NAC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 2, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAI QiYong - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
2 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) - - - - 2% 22% 76%
3 WANG Joey - - - - 2% 22% 76%
3 HUANG Kenneth - - - 2% 11% 39% 48%
5 PARK Sangwook - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
5 BOUDREAUX James - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
7 JAO Aaron - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
8 LUO Alexander - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 11%
9 KIM Henry - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
10 SHI Jian-An - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
11 YILMAZ Tarik - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
12 YANG Gary - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
12 SUMA Marvin - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
14 SINGLETON Aman - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
15 ZHAI Junqi - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 6%
16 TANG Michael - 1% 6% 19% 33% 31% 11%
17 SOLOMON Aryeh - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
17 RONG Gordon - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
19 LIU Andrew - - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
20 TANG Zheng - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 26%
21 BO Genero - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
22 TUBALTSEV Evan - - 1% 7% 26% 44% 23%
23 ZHANG Albert(Kwan Fei) - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
24 SZCZAPA Lukas - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
25 LIU Max 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
26 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo - - 4% 21% 42% 29% 3%
27 MEHROTRA Neel - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
28 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
29 CHEN Daniel - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 4%
30 DODIN Daniel M. - - 2% 12% 37% 40% 9%
31 DU Evan - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
32 VAN JAARSVELD Leo - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
33 KIM Julian - 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10%
34 ZHANG Luqi 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
35 LIU Zicheng - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
36 CHANG Matthew - 2% 13% 31% 36% 17% 1%
37 MOORE Alexander - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
38 DOAN Christopher - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 10%
39 VAN RIET Stefan - 3% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
40 DANILOV Artur - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12% 1%
41 MOU Jaydon 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
42 DING Max - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
43 SHCHUR Grayson - - - 4% 20% 45% 31%
44 WANG Devin - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
45 LEWIS Michael - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
46 MA Ciel 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% -
46 WANG Jiacheng 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1%
48 XUE Michael - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
49 YAKOVYSHENKO Michael Alec 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
50 CAFASSO Alexander - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
51 LU Ian 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 9% 1%
52 PUTHOFF Henry - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
53 FU Nolan - 3% 14% 31% 34% 15% 2%
54 YAO Tristan - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
54 WU Nathan - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
56 SUN Marco - - 3% 14% 34% 35% 13%
57 MIDYANY Ryan - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
58 PARKE Nathaniel - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
59 SU Samuel - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
60 LEE Daniel 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
61 ENG Kyler - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 20%
62 NARAYANUN Advay 29% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
62 KIM Evan 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
64 KATS Brandon 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
65 YAO Ryan - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
66 RONG Marcus - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
67 ROBERTS Arthur - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
68 GIORDANO Zach 1% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
69 ZHANG Sean - - 4% 15% 34% 35% 12%
70 WU Matthew 3% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
71 SONG Aidan - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
72 KROPP Wesley - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
73 WANG JIADUO - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
74 WONG Vansen 2% 11% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
75 YOO Minwoo - - 3% 14% 35% 38% 11%
76 WANG Kyle - 5% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
77 WONG Alexander 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
78 LI Grayson 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
79 RUBIN Nathan 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
80 CHEN Christopher 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
81 WANG Lucas - 1% 9% 26% 38% 22% 3%
82 SHOURIE Neel 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
82 WHITE Ryden - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
84 REILLY August 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
85 DENG haoyu - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
86 SRIKANTH Hariharan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
86 WU MiEr 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
88 MOSLEY Wally - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
89 VOO Lucas 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
90 HEADRICK Liam 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
91 GREENMAN Duke - 1% 7% 28% 41% 21% 2%
92 GACIOCH Noah - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
93 FENG Xinmin 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
94 ZHAO Luke 5% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
95 WANG Suian (Andy) 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
96 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
97 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 12% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
98 LIU Austin 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4% -
99 QU RuiTing - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
100 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
101 YAO Aiden - 2% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
102 ZHANG jonathan - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
103 WONG Aaron 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
104 SHI Zhicheng 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
105 ABAD-HERRERO Kieran - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
106 BACON Corban 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
107 ZHAO Brandon 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
108 PLUMMER Kellan 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 4% -
109 YU Haoyun 4% 21% 37% 27% 10% 1% -
110 YU Brandon 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
111 ZHAN ETHAN 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
112 KHERSONSKY Robert 1% 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
113 PARK Ethan 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
114 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
115 TIAN Dylan 41% 40% 16% 3% - - -
116 ARMSTRONG Payson 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
116 ZHANG Shuhao 24% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -
118 SCHIPPER Johann 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
119 BOROVIKOV Alexander 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
120 LI Stephen 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
121 MYRAH Devin 6% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
122 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
123 WANG Juehan 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
124 GEVA Reuben - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
125 SHEYDIN Barry 11% 31% 33% 19% 5% 1% -
126 ZHANG Chaoyi（Joey） - 4% 15% 30% 31% 17% 3%
127 CARCELLER Jeremias 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
128 HUA Nolan 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
129 MA Nolan 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4% -
130 MANA Sameer 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
131 BUTLER Xavier 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
132 BALUCAN Caelus 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 5% 1%
133 CHEN Aiden - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
133 KIM Leejay 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
135 DENG Destin 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
136 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
137 ZHU Owen 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
138 HANTOV Adrian - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
139 LEE Davidson 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
140 LIU Xuyao 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
140 ZHANG Aiden 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
142 LEE Lucas 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
143 MA kevin 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
144 LIN Daniel 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
145 LEE Joshua 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
145 LIU Aiden 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
147 PANUGANTI Neal 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
148 CHEN Linus 4% 22% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
149 HUR Tyson 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
150 SLAVIN Tamir 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
151 SONG Eric 10% 30% 35% 19% 6% 1% -
152 YU Alex 28% 46% 21% 4% - - -
153 NGUYEN Ethan 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
154 KIM Aiden 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
155 LAI Jayden 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
156 LIU Yihong 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
157 LI Bryan 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
158 SHOURIE Seth 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
158 DE LOS REYES Noah 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
160 TAN Samuel 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
161 MA yuwei 7% 27% 36% 23% 6% 1% -
162 CHIANG William - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
163 SHIH Derek 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
164 HU Charles 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
165 ENG Kyle 38% 43% 16% 2% - - -
166 GUO Luke 6% 22% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
167 TSUI Walton 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
168 ZHANG Eric 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
169 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
170 FILONOV Dennis 1% 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% -
171 KROTZ Nicolas 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
172 ZHENG Jason 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
173 HOLDEN Harrison 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
174 DESAI Adithya 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
174 YOON Ian 15% 41% 33% 10% 1% - -
176 JONES Gideon 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
176 CHU Clayton 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
178 WANG Ryan 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
179 YU George 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
180 MEHROTRA Darsh 45% 39% 14% 2% - - -
181 AIRES Jackson 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
182 YAO Irvine 52% 36% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.