March NAC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 2, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Oregon Convention Center - Portland, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAI QiYong 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
2 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76%
3 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
5 PARK Sangwook 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
5 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
7 JAO Aaron 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
8 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
9 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
10 SHI Jian-An 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
11 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
12 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
12 SUMA Marvin 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
14 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
15 ZHAI Junqi 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
16 TANG Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 42% 11%
17 SOLOMON Aryeh 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
17 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 21%
19 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
20 TANG Zheng 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
21 BO Genero 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
22 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 23%
23 ZHANG Albert(Kwan Fei) 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
24 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
25 LIU Max 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
26 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 3%
27 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
28 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
29 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
30 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 9%
31 DU Evan 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
32 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
33 KIM Julian 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10%
34 ZHANG Luqi 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
35 LIU Zicheng 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
36 CHANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 1%
37 MOORE Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
38 DOAN Christopher 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 10%
39 VAN RIET Stefan 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
40 DANILOV Artur 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
41 MOU Jaydon 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
42 DING Max 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
43 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
44 WANG Devin 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
45 LEWIS Michael 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
46 MA Ciel 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
46 WANG Jiacheng 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% 1%
48 XUE Michael 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
49 YAKOVYSHENKO Michael Alec 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 3% -
50 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
51 LU Ian 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
52 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
53 FU Nolan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
54 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
54 WU Nathan 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
56 SUN Marco 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
57 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
58 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 23% 3%
59 SU Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
60 LEE Daniel 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
61 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
62 NARAYANUN Advay 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
62 KIM Evan 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% -
64 KATS Brandon 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
65 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
66 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
67 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
68 GIORDANO Zach 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
69 ZHANG Sean 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
70 WU Matthew 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
71 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
72 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
73 WANG JIADUO 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
74 WONG Vansen 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
75 YOO Minwoo 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 11%
76 WANG Kyle 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6% -
77 WONG Alexander 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
78 LI Grayson 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
79 RUBIN Nathan 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
80 CHEN Christopher 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
81 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 25% 3%
82 SHOURIE Neel 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 8% 1%
82 WHITE Ryden 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
84 REILLY August 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
85 DENG haoyu 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
86 SRIKANTH Hariharan 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
86 WU MiEr 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
88 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
89 VOO Lucas 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
90 HEADRICK Liam 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
91 GREENMAN Duke 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 2%
92 GACIOCH Noah 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
93 FENG Xinmin 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
94 ZHAO Luke 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
95 WANG Suian (Andy) 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
96 ZHAO Kyle Zekai 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
97 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
98 LIU Austin 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
99 QU RuiTing 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 22% 3%
100 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
101 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
102 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
103 WONG Aaron 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
104 SHI Zhicheng 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
105 ABAD-HERRERO Kieran 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
106 BACON Corban 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
107 ZHAO Brandon 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
108 PLUMMER Kellan 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
109 YU Haoyun 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
110 YU Brandon 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
111 ZHAN ETHAN 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
112 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 2%
113 PARK Ethan 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
114 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
115 TIAN Dylan 100% 59% 19% 4% - - -
116 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
116 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 76% 37% 10% 2% - -
118 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
119 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
120 LI Stephen 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
121 MYRAH Devin 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
122 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
123 WANG Juehan 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
124 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
125 SHEYDIN Barry 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
126 ZHANG Chaoyi(Joey) 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
127 CARCELLER Jeremias 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
128 HUA Nolan 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
129 MA Nolan 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
130 MANA Sameer 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
131 BUTLER Xavier 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
132 BALUCAN Caelus 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
133 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
133 KIM Leejay 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
135 DENG Destin 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
136 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
137 ZHU Owen 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
138 HANTOV Adrian 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
139 LEE Davidson 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
140 LIU Xuyao 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
140 ZHANG Aiden 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
142 LEE Lucas 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
143 MA kevin 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 2% -
144 LIN Daniel 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
145 LEE Joshua 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
145 LIU Aiden 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
147 PANUGANTI Neal 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
148 CHEN Linus 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% 1% -
149 HUR Tyson 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
150 SLAVIN Tamir 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
151 SONG Eric 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
152 YU Alex 100% 72% 26% 4% - - -
153 NGUYEN Ethan 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
154 KIM Aiden 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
155 LAI Jayden 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
156 LIU Yihong 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
157 LI Bryan 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
158 SHOURIE Seth 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
158 DE LOS REYES Noah 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
160 TAN Samuel 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
161 MA yuwei 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
162 CHIANG William 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
163 SHIH Derek 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
164 HU Charles 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
165 ENG Kyle 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
166 GUO Luke 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
167 TSUI Walton 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
168 ZHANG Eric 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
169 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
170 FILONOV Dennis 100% 99% 80% 42% 13% 2% -
171 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
172 ZHENG Jason 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
173 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
174 DESAI Adithya 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
174 YOON Ian 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
176 JONES Gideon 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
176 CHU Clayton 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
178 WANG Ryan 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
179 YU George 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
180 MEHROTRA Darsh 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
181 AIRES Jackson 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
182 YAO Irvine 100% 48% 12% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.