2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Stewart S. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
2 CHEN Leonardo - - 3% 17% 41% 33% 6%
3 WU Jonathan - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
3 SAVORETTI Pietro - - 4% 24% 41% 26% 5%
5 SHCHUR Landon - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
6 DODIN David - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
7 SAVORETTI Francesco - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
8 BOUDREAUX James - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 10%
9 ATKINS Levi H. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
10 LI Zachary - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
11 HU Anton - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
12 PARK Nicholas - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
13 SVERDLOV Seth - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
14 SIYANKO Joshua - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 14%
15 SONG Troy - - 4% 24% 41% 26% 5%
16 PAN Tristan - - 4% 24% 41% 25% 4%
17 NORMILE Nicholas - 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 3%
18 ZHAO Zidong - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
19 LIU Adam - 2% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
20 WONG King-Yee - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
21 DURKIN Tristan E. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
22 CHEN Jayden - 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
23 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
24 CHAI Ethan - - 4% 20% 42% 30% 5%
25 BRODSKY Julian - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
26 WANG Tony - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
27 RATUSHNYI Georgii 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1%
28 DAN Rex - 5% 21% 36% 28% 8%
29 GOON Tristan Yang - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
30 DOUBOV Andrew - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
31 HU Robert J. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
32 LEE Wyatt 22% 46% 26% 6% - - -
33 STAUDINGER Enzo 1% 10% 50% 31% 7% 1% -
34 JIANG ryan - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
35 DURKIN Brian 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
36 ALABI Tobi - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
37 SONG Changze 3% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
38 TRAN Spencer - 5% 23% 41% 25% 6% -
39 AHMED Mohsen 2% 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
40 OCONNOR Paul 27% 43% 24% 5% 1% - -
41 REPIC Oliver - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
42 GAO Victor 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
43 ZHAO Pierce 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
44 ORESKOVIC Olivier 22% 44% 27% 7% 1% -
45 DURKIN Hudson 1% 7% 27% 40% 21% 4%
46 YU Samuel 3% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1%
47 DUKO Phillip - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
48 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
49 LI Jade 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
50 NILSEN Mark 4% 23% 42% 25% 6% - -
50 KWON Aaron 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
52 PAN Anthony 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
53 RIM Eugene 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 3% -
54 YIN Chujun 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
55 TESFAYE Elias 7% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
56 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 29% 45% 22% 4% - -
57 NALLICHERI Ayaan 39% 41% 17% 3% - -
58 ZHANG Roland 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
59 KIM Samuel 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
60 MILINKOVIC Maksim 12% 46% 32% 9% 1% - -
60 DEGENHARDT Zenji 16% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
62 BAZZANA Beniamino 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
63 RVACHEV Michael 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
64 LI Ray 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
65 KAPLAN Maddox 34% 46% 18% 3% - - -
66 BARATY Teagan 50% 45% 5% - - - -
67 ALAM Rajan 39% 42% 17% 3% - - -
68 LI Jaden 36% 54% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.