National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Women's Épée

Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Laura 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
2 WONG Caitlin - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 3%
3 CHIRASHNYA Mika - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
3 LAI Amanda - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
5 CHEN Alicia - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
6 BEATIE Isabella M. 1% 11% 28% 34% 21% 5%
7 GAVASHELI Margarita - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
8 ESCALANTE Yamara K. - - - 1% 10% 36% 52%
9 GANSER Nicole - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
10 SAUCEDO Grecia - 1% 9% 27% 39% 22% 2%
11 DAVIS Jennifer - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
12 MOHEBI Neeka 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3%
13 ZHU Riley 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
14 SIU Maple - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
15 PULLARA Ashley - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
16 KAUR Jaap - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
17 CHAN Allison M. - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 17%
18 REED Katya 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% < 1%
19 LAW Shun Yu - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
20 READ Lyla - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
21 LURYE Lina - - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
22 DUONG Zoey - 1% 7% 22% 36% 28% 6%
23 BHATT Anisha - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
24 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Maia - - - 3% 14% 39% 44%
25 SCHOR Elisabeth 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 12% 2%
26 CHEONG Chloe - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
27 FLANIGAN KENDRA - 1% 6% 20% 33% 29% 10%
28 LI Caroline 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
29 LANE Leah - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
30 FANG Kayla 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
31 HAYDEN Molly - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
32 PHELAN Gabrielle 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
33 AWALEGAONKAR Saina 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
34 SHAKIR Inaaya - 1% 9% 30% 40% 18% 2%
35 HASIM Eurietta - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
36 YOUSSEF Caroline 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
37 GIELEGHEM Klaire - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
38 LIN Isabel 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
38 HILBY Olivia - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
40 BARDIN Kira - 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
41 KIM Emily 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
42 RUVOLO Arwen 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2%
43 MCCOY Lauren - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
44 YUNG Bethany 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
45 PAN Angela - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
46 MEYER Rachel - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
47 NELSON Grace E. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
47 CHANG Abigail - 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
47 BI Michelle 3% 15% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
47 SKLAR Davida - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
51 BLANCO Ariia - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
52 LOBANOVA Varvara 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3%
53 FOMINA Polina 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
54 BARTOSZUK Camilla - 2% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
55 ELTERMAN Kate - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
56 DAVIS Shanna 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
57 VERGARA Jaden Reese - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
58 TIBBETTS Lily 28% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
59 PEDERSEN Kari - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
59 ZHAN Clare 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
61 LEWIS Sophia - - < 1% 3% 15% 41% 41%
61 PYE Emily 1% 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
61 JORGENSEN Kjirsten - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
64 ZIMMERMAN Karmen - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
65 BISONO Valentina 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
66 MOLLINIER Angel - 2% 10% 25% 34% 22% 6%
67 GAVILANES Madyson 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
68 CHUNG Penelope - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
69 ETZEL Rowan - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
69 KING Emily 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
71 YUMIACO Nylah 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3% -
72 JARUSHI Amnee - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
73 BURKHARDT Krista L. 4% 18% 32% 28% 14% 3% -
73 RAFFERTY Catherine 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
75 GOCHBERG Madeline 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
76 HERD Angela 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
77 WIDMANN Ceili - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
78 NGUYEN Celena - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
79 JAIN Prisha 31% 43% 21% 4% - -
80 EGENOLF Gabriella 10% 30% 34% 20% 5% 1%
81 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 1% 5% 17% 31% 29% 14% 3%
82 POON Desiree - 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
82 MISRA Tara 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
82 KAZMIEROWSKI Chrissa - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 2%
85 LI Yunxuan (Joy) - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
85 BRETHAUER Adah 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
87 PHUONG Elaine 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
88 GERASIMOVA Vasilisa 1% 26% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
88 SCANLAN Alina Nev 10% 28% 33% 20% 7% 1% -
90 REYNOLDS Elly - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
90 JUDICKE Olivia - 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
90 HO Gillian 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
93 MEMON Insha 22% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
94 BENNETT Olivia - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
94 OLIVEIRA Giovanna - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
96 KROTZ Gemma 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
97 BENNETT Vienne 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
98 LEVKOV Maita 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
99 CONNOLLY Natasha 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
100 NORRIS Morgan 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
101 WILKINSON Heather E. 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 5%
102 SCHLIEP Anna J. - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
103 HARRIS Lynn B. 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
104 MEYER Rebecca 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
105 LIN Cynthia 11% 36% 36% 15% 2% -
106 BUCA Nora - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
107 OPERARIO Abigail Z. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
107 HEINRICHS Aaliyah - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 5%
109 SCHLEE Selma - 4% 14% 29% 31% 18% 4%
110 SINGH Ipshita - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
111 MURPHY Megan - 3% 14% 28% 32% 18% 4%
111 GERBOTH Lauren 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
113 MOYSTON Elizabeth 1% 5% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
114 DUNNE Jessica 9% 37% 36% 15% 3% - -
115 DELLAIRA Isabella 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
116 LY Hannah 5% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
117 IVANUSHKINA Alisa 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
118 KELBLEY Newt J. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
119 JAMES Ashley 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
120 MORET Brighid E. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
121 VILLAREAL Heather 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
122 PILON Isabella 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
123 FAENOVA Alexandra - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
124 MARTIN Adriana 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
125 DEPAUW Adeline 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
126 GROENING Joanne 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
127 THOMAS Meagan R. 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 3%
128 MADANNAVAR Trisha 43% 39% 15% 3% - - -
129 DEBLAERE Caecie M. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
130 OPIELA Natalie 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
131 WHITELAW Shyann 2% 14% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
132 HART Jenna 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
133 SRINIVASAN Arushi 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
134 ALVAREZ Martine 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
135 DUBROVINA Irene 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
136 SCHAU DeHavilland 70% 26% 3% - - - -
137 WHITLEY Alexis 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
138 EL BADAOUI Salma 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
139 GUSKA Jenn 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
140 COMBS Hannah 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
141 HAMMONDS Carissa 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
142 ZHANG Helen 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
143 KRISHNAKUMAR Trisha 18% 41% 30% 10% 2% - -
143 OAKES Scarlett 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
145 DREW Dorothea M. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
146 DAGLI Sai 3% 24% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
147 RALSTON Katy 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
148 HANEY Kimberly M. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
149 PIERCE Marcia M. < 1% 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
150 BATES Madison < 1% 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
151 DAVIS Elisabeth 37% 41% 18% 4% - -
152 WOOD Grace 67% 28% 4% - - - -
153 SNYDER Kathryn 23% 39% 27% 9% 2% -
154 LEEB Zoe 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
155 MANCELL Hope 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
155 MOHAMED Siham 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
157 WORTHINGTON Isabella 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.