National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Women's Épée

Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Laura 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
2 WONG Caitlin 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 3%
3 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
3 LAI Amanda 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
5 CHEN Alicia 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
6 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 5%
7 GAVASHELI Margarita 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 4%
8 ESCALANTE Yamara K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 52%
9 GANSER Nicole 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
10 SAUCEDO Grecia 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23% 2%
11 DAVIS Jennifer 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
12 MOHEBI Neeka 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3%
13 ZHU Riley 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
14 SIU Maple 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 3%
15 PULLARA Ashley 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
16 KAUR Jaap 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
17 CHAN Allison M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
18 REED Katya 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% < 1%
19 LAW Shun Yu 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
20 READ Lyla 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
21 LURYE Lina 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 35%
22 DUONG Zoey 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 6%
23 BHATT Anisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
24 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Maia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
25 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
26 CHEONG Chloe 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 20% 3%
27 FLANIGAN KENDRA 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
28 LI Caroline 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 1%
29 LANE Leah 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
30 FANG Kayla 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
31 HAYDEN Molly 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
32 PHELAN Gabrielle 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
33 AWALEGAONKAR Saina 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
34 SHAKIR Inaaya 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 2%
35 HASIM Eurietta 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
36 YOUSSEF Caroline 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
37 GIELEGHEM Klaire 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
38 LIN Isabel 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
38 HILBY Olivia 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
40 BARDIN Kira 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
41 KIM Emily 100% 99% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
42 RUVOLO Arwen 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
43 MCCOY Lauren 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
44 YUNG Bethany 100% 99% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
45 PAN Angela 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
46 MEYER Rachel 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
47 NELSON Grace E. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
47 CHANG Abigail 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
47 BI Michelle 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
47 SKLAR Davida 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
51 BLANCO Ariia 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
52 LOBANOVA Varvara 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
53 FOMINA Polina 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
54 BARTOSZUK Camilla 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
55 ELTERMAN Kate 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
56 DAVIS Shanna 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
57 VERGARA Jaden Reese 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
58 TIBBETTS Lily 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
59 PEDERSEN Kari 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
59 ZHAN Clare 100% 97% 80% 47% 18% 4% -
61 LEWIS Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
61 PYE Emily 100% 99% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
61 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 3%
64 ZIMMERMAN Karmen 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 5%
65 BISONO Valentina 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
66 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
67 GAVILANES Madyson 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
68 CHUNG Penelope 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
69 ETZEL Rowan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
69 KING Emily 100% 95% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
71 YUMIACO Nylah 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
72 JARUSHI Amnee 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
73 BURKHARDT Krista L. 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
73 RAFFERTY Catherine 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
75 GOCHBERG Madeline 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
76 HERD Angela 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
77 WIDMANN Ceili 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
78 NGUYEN Celena 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
79 JAIN Prisha 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
80 EGENOLF Gabriella 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1%
81 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
82 POON Desiree 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
82 MISRA Tara 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
82 KAZMIEROWSKI Chrissa 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 25% 2%
85 LI Yunxuan (Joy) 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
85 BRETHAUER Adah 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
87 PHUONG Elaine 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
88 GERASIMOVA Vasilisa 100% 99% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
88 SCANLAN Alina Nev 100% 90% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
90 REYNOLDS Elly 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
90 JUDICKE Olivia 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
90 HO Gillian 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
93 MEMON Insha 100% 78% 34% 8% 1% - -
94 BENNETT Olivia 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
94 OLIVEIRA Giovanna 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 4%
96 KROTZ Gemma 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
97 BENNETT Vienne 100% 95% 75% 43% 15% 3% -
98 LEVKOV Maita 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
99 CONNOLLY Natasha 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
100 NORRIS Morgan 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
101 WILKINSON Heather E. 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
102 SCHLIEP Anna J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
103 HARRIS Lynn B. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
104 MEYER Rebecca 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
105 LIN Cynthia 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
106 BUCA Nora 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
107 OPERARIO Abigail Z. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
107 HEINRICHS Aaliyah 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
109 SCHLEE Selma 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
110 SINGH Ipshita 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
111 MURPHY Megan 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
111 GERBOTH Lauren 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
113 MOYSTON Elizabeth 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 19% 3%
114 DUNNE Jessica 100% 91% 55% 19% 3% - -
115 DELLAIRA Isabella 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
116 LY Hannah 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 3% -
117 IVANUSHKINA Alisa 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
118 KELBLEY Newt J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
119 JAMES Ashley 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
120 MORET Brighid E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
121 VILLAREAL Heather 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 3% -
122 PILON Isabella 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
123 FAENOVA Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 9%
124 MARTIN Adriana 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
125 DEPAUW Adeline 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
126 GROENING Joanne 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
127 THOMAS Meagan R. 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
128 MADANNAVAR Trisha 100% 57% 18% 3% - - -
129 DEBLAERE Caecie M. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
130 OPIELA Natalie 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
131 WHITELAW Shyann 100% 98% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
132 HART Jenna 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
133 SRINIVASAN Arushi 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
134 ALVAREZ Martine 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
135 DUBROVINA Irene 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
136 SCHAU DeHavilland 100% 30% 4% - - - -
137 WHITLEY Alexis 100% 88% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
138 EL BADAOUI Salma 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
139 GUSKA Jenn 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
140 COMBS Hannah 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
141 HAMMONDS Carissa 100% 93% 69% 34% 11% 2% -
142 ZHANG Helen 100% 85% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
143 KRISHNAKUMAR Trisha 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
143 OAKES Scarlett 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
145 DREW Dorothea M. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
146 DAGLI Sai 100% 97% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
147 RALSTON Katy 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
148 HANEY Kimberly M. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
149 PIERCE Marcia M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
150 BATES Madison 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
151 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
152 WOOD Grace 100% 33% 5% - - - -
153 SNYDER Kathryn 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% -
154 LEEB Zoe 100% 87% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
155 MANCELL Hope 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
155 MOHAMED Siham 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
157 WORTHINGTON Isabella 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.