Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RPC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, September 14, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
2 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
3 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
3 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
5 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
6 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
7 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 16%
8 CAUCHY Eliot 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
9 DUKO Phillip 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
10 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
11 SOKOL Luke 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
12 LIU Yueri 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
13 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 12%
14 BRODSKY Julian 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
15 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
16 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
17 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 44%
18 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
19 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
20 SONG Troy 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
21 LEE Aiden 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
22 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
23 REPIC Oliver 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
24 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
25 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
26 DURKIN Tristan E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
27 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
28 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
29 KRISHNAN Skanda 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 6%
30 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
31 WANG Tony 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
32 SHOUSHA Yassin 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
33 BEALS Alden 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
34 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 34%
35 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% 1%
36 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
37 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 6%
38 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
39 SHA Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 6%
39 ANAFI Ari 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
41 EVANS Joseph 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
42 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 99% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
43 YU Samuel 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
44 TESFAYE Elias 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
45 CHEN YiHeng 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
46 NGO-D'ANDRE Nicolas 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
47 LIU Adam 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
48 WONG King-Yee 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 2%
49 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 98% 65% 22% 3% - -
50 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 8% -
51 SUN Lucas 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
52 DAN Rex 100% 96% 76% 38% 8% 1%
53 DOWD Peter L. 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
53 LEE Anton 100% 87% 55% 23% 6% 1% -
55 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
56 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
56 CHEN Luowen 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
58 ZANELLI Ben 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
59 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
60 PAN Anthony 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
61 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
62 HOWELL Liam 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
63 CHEN Edward 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
64 MEN Junda 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
65 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
65 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
67 POCHATKO Christian 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
68 RVACHEV Michael 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
69 MASTAKOURIS Petros-Stone 100% 99% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
70 RIM Eugene 100% 100% 94% 65% 21% 2% -
71 JAMISON Tre 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
72 LI Jade 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
73 LIN Nathan 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
74 HELMY Richard 100% 99% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
75 LIN Junyi 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
76 MANTINAOS Constantinos 100% 99% 83% 42% 9% 1% -
77 LEE Wyatt 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% - -
78 WHEELER Jackson 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
79 ACAR Devin 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
80 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
80 AGUIRRE Diego 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
82 AGRAWAL Krishna 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
83 DAGLI Sai 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
84 NILSEN Mark 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
85 AU Joshua 100% 25% 2% - - - -
86 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
87 LYCHKO Maksym 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
88 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
89 WANG Charles 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
89 JOEL Irenov 100% 83% 38% 9% 1% - -
89 LEE Henry 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
89 MORSS Dashiell 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
89 GU Eric 100% 70% 19% 2% - - -
94 URBAN Leo 100% 14% 1% - - - -
95 TINAWI Luay 100% 76% 34% 7% 1% - -
96 KIM Samuel 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.