The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Friday, December 20, 2019 at 8:30 AM

Round Rock, TX - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
2 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 MURRAY Maximo 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
3 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
5 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
6 LO Conrad 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
7 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
8 ANTON Nathaniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
9 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
10 JI Evan 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 6% 1%
11 KUO Evan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
12 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
13 CHOI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 14%
14 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 99% 88% 52% 14% 1%
15 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
16 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
17 LUH Ethan K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 5%
18 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
19 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 9%
20 WOO Christian 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28% 3%
21 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
22 HOSKERI Anik S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
23 WU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
24 FINLEY Dylan 100% 99% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
25 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
26 CHI Alexander 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
27 WHITE Austin M. 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
28 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
29 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 19%
30 KIM Derek A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
31 AIBEL Hudson J. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
32 LIN Michael 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
33 SHEN Luke R. 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
34 KIM Minhyeok 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
35 CANLAS Nathan 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
36 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 96% 74% 28% 3%
37 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
38 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
39 HUANG Kevin D. 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
40 TAN Christien 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
41 TEH Ryan 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
42 HUANG Eythan 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
43 CHEN Junxuan 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
44 MA Andrew 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
45 TORRES Treston 100% 100% 77% 35% 8% 1%
46 REYES Omar 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
47 SHEN Troy R. 100% 94% 58% 16% 2% -
48 LI Matthew 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
49 TANG Owen S. 100% 99% 89% 55% 16% 2%
50 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
51 ZHOU Joseph H. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
51 CHIN Ryan 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% - -
53 REEVES Liam 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
54 STEVENS Paul S. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
55 LIU Michael H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 2%
56 LLIDO Soren 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
57 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 99% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
58 WEEKS Richard P. 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
59 TUAN Evan 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
60 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
61 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 84% 45% 13% 1%
62 KIM Adrian 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
63 LI Chenglang Ryan 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 4% -
64 ANDRIC Borna 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
65 BARRETT Austin 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
66 LI Jett 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
67 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
68 WANG Brayden 100% 36% 5% - - -
69 CAPRA Ethan 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 2% -
69 APPL Eli 100% 72% 27% 4% - - -
71 MANICKAM Varun 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -
72 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
73 SINGH Kushaal 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
74 OH Jaden 100% 83% 34% 6% - -
75 MA Bryant 100% 95% 59% 15% 1% -
76 JIANG Raymond 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
77 THOMSON Champa 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
78 ZHANG Luke 100% 5% - - - -
79 STERNBERG Ira M. 100% 28% 3% - - - -
80 STERNBERG Moses A. 100% 73% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.