Fairfax Challenge SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Foil

Friday, September 20, 2019 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Andrew - - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
2 LUTAR Lucas N. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - - 1% 10% 48% 41%
3 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
5 CHEN Allen - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
6 ARIZA Isaac A. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
7 LEE Joshua - - 1% 12% 50% 37%
8 GISLER Benjamin B. 8% 34% 37% 17% 3% - -
9 TIAN Aaron C. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
10 PAULSON Connor M. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
11 TOLBA Abdelrahman - 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3%
12 DOUGLAS Oscar M. - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 4%
13 HUTH Mitchell - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
14 NAGER Noah - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
15 TAHOUN Mostafa 6% 25% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
16 ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
17 GOOR Julian - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 2%
18 KEE Andrew L. - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
19 YANG Luao - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
20 DOCTOR Aidan L. - - 3% 14% 37% 38% 9%
21 KOBAL Maximilian - 4% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
22 LEE Aidan - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
23 SICHITIU Alexander - 4% 17% 34% 30% 12% 2%
24 WILLIAMS Connor J. 5% 25% 41% 25% 4% -
25 ZHANG Yun Isaac - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
26 ANTON Nathaniel - 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1%
27 MARX Oscar L. - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
28 WALTER Evran M. - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 6%
29 GEOGHEGAN Ronan - 4% 17% 34% 30% 12% 2%
30 HUGHES Evan J. 32% 44% 20% 4% - -
31 ROUNTREE Rob 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% -
32 GAO William 16% 45% 30% 8% 1% - -
33 PALMA Matthew Dominic 34% 43% 19% 4% < 1% - -
34 GORBACHEV Alexander - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
35 MOHAMED Murad 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
36 EMENHEISER Conrad 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
37 QIU Daniel 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
38 MOHAMED Amir 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
39 BUERGIN Aidan 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
40 KNOEPFFLER Alex - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
41 LIU Eric Y. 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
42 RINEHART Conner M. 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
43 PAI Lakshan K. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
44 KNIZHNIK David 9% 34% 39% 16% 2% -
45 LONG Connor M. 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
46 LOVE Aaron 1% 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
47 SAGE Michael J. 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
48 REEVES Liam 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
49 DRESSEL Jet 57% 35% 7% 1% - - -
50 JI Aidan Y. 5% 36% 38% 17% 4% - -
51 FOTENOS Noah T. 5% 28% 43% 21% 2% -
52 YU Jonathan J. 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
53 WANG Jeremy 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
54 SELLERY Robert M. 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
55 ROBBINS Tusker F. 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.